From Flu Wiki 2

Forum: Indonesia Outbreak X

20 September 2006

Bronco Bill – at 19:59

Continued from here


Influentia2 at 19:52

Warning, this may be upsetting to read it is a very sad story about this boys family

On Thursday, September 21 2006 was brought to the Midwife the Village, It Was Thought the Sign of Abram typhus, villagers Kaligentong, the Pucanglaban Subdistrict, that was killed It Was Suspected were attacked by Flu Burung the Abram Death, 11, that was expected resulting from tertular the bird flu virus, really startled villagers Kaligentong, the Pucanglaban Subdistrict, especially Sutris and Siyah, his parents. Moreover the death of the class student 6, that was counted so suddenly. Along with his report. Triyoga Agus N, Ratu

The quiet and calm RSUD atmosphere Dr. Iskak Tulungagung in two previous nights was disturbed. Around struck 22.45, in noisy suddenly orchid space. The hysterical scream, the crying sobbing menyeruak as though solving the clarity of the night. Moreover when two officials of the hospital came to the room of the isolation by bringing the hearse. When the Queen came to have the official who was equipped mask equipment and the gloves were wrapping casualtiess body in plastic. Further they brought the body to the morgue. Eni Wulandari, the older brother Abram not the power saw when the brothers body was brought by the official. He cried as much as possible while calling the name of his brother. Likewise the mother of casualties, Siyah continued menitikkan the tear while screaming tight. The mother four children in fact until terkulai limp in the floor because not strong at keeping this disaster. You asked everything definitely to be followed by us Dik, but dont leave us. Oh lord, dont take our younger brother the only one, was like this the scream that it was said Eni Wulandari while crying immediately after his brother of Abram was killed yesterday the night. The Siyah crying sobbing did not stop when casualtiess body has been in the morgue. He was alone was waiting for his sons body. Now his husband Sutris and his child Eni Wulandari arranged administration in the office IRD. Why to nak how come your age mung sakmene (why his age only until here, red), said Siyah while keeping the tear. Siyah claimed still was very heavy released the Abram trip, his son. Beforehand, he had not supposed will lose his child forevermore. I was surprised how come was as fast as this he went, in fact the night yesterday (on Sunday night, red), he still stories with saya,ujar Siyah. The mother of four same children claimed did not suppose if the illness that was suffered by his child was serious and result in fatal. Because of this, when the body of Abram panasSiyah only brought him to the village midwife. Everything ended from the midwife, the condition for his son improved. Your words the midwife of typhus of the sign illness, so as I did not like that panic. Eh when relapsing again immediately was serious and like this, said Siyah. He admitted, around his four children of Abram was the child who most was loved. Understand he was the only male child. Nevertheless, he not the child that was spoilt to his parents. He the good child. Industriously prayed and ngaji, he said. Siyah also remembered words that were revealed by Abram a day before died. The son of his pity every asked was bought the new sarong. His article to Ramadan this, he planned to want the fast and fasting prayers a month was full. But I could not buy his sarong even he has gone, he said soft while very much-time gazed at his childs body on the carriage. Because of his behaviour that exemplary, said Siyah, Abram also really was loved by his three older brothers. Abram including the child that not neko-neko. He had not asked that very strange. Hopefully, he make room that good beside the Lord, he said was full please. In his school, continued Siyah, Abram was also known as the diligent child to be studying. Since going to school, from the class one to the class five, casualties always could the ranking. If not the ranking one, sometimes he could the ranking two. He the clever child and hard-working studied, explained his mother. Before dying, Siyah admitted to not getting the presentiment anything. Only one day before the illness relapsed, Abram wanted to meet with his nephew. After that he engrosseded in playing with his nephew. Therefore I did not suspect completely him of going. I had not imagined that Abram will precede us, tukasnya

http://tinyurl.com/zqlnv

MaMaat 20:10

Very sad Influentia2. I can’t imagine how difficult it must be for that poor boy’s family right now. Thanks for sharing this with us.

Michelle in OK – at 23:49

It seems almost unsympathetic to post a summary of numbers. Please read the numbers knowing there are precious people behind each one. Again, our sympathy to the family of the young boy who died.

Michelle in OK – at 23:49

Indonesia Summary - Updated as of 09/20/06

Cases DiscussedJun-06Jul-06Aug-06Sep-06Total
Died, no test results224210
Died, tested positive43209
Other tested positive01304
Symptoms, tests pending42462678
Tested negative0625536
Totals10148033137

21 September 2006

pugmom – at 07:55

Denpasar,Bali: Bird Flu found in pigs. dated 9–21–06 http://tinyurl.com/nsr63

Bird flu attacked the Pig Livestock in Balinese Denpasar, on September 21: Tim the researcher from the Medical Faculty the Udayana University Animal, the Association of the Indonesian Veterinary Surgeon (PDHI), and the Balinese Livestock Breeding Service found two cases of the spread of the bird flu virus (avian influenza/AI) to the pig livestock in Bali. “Two cases were found in two regencies from eight regencies and one city in Bali (that was researched),” said Director Program Pengkajian as well as the Socialisation of Bird Flu and the FKH Unud influenza Pandemic, Drh. I Gusti Ngurah Mahardika, in Mengwi, on Thursday. He said, from results of the laboratory research, two positive pig livestock tertular the virus H5N1, but was not found by the new development or the consignment virus from outside the area. “If the AI virus that fell on the pig livestock immediately was not anticipated, it was worried about could infect the pig livestock naturally in Bali,” said Mahardika. The AI virus apart from attacking the animal livestock, the raging virus in accordance with the official data through to eight in September 2006 attacked 63 people in Java and Sumatra, 48 people among them died. “Until at this time the case of bird flu in Bali was not yet found was to humankind contagious,” said Mahardika while expecting all the sides to increase vigilance to avoid the illness that was dangerous enough this. Bali with the inhabitants around 3.2 million souls, had the poultry population that was solid enough namely approximately 12 million tails, one million tails among them the pig

The AI virus to the pig livestock in Bali genetically one klaster with the virus from Sumatra that is the place of attachments with the receptor in a molecular manner had preference of the poultry receptor. That must receive serious attention from all the sides, considering the virus H5N1 spread to the poultry in most Indonesian territories, including Bali that kedapatan attacked the chicken livestock, the duck and entok (the goose kind berleher short). The “virus H5N1 in Bali spread to 37 subdistricts or 67 percent of 55 available subdistricts in Bali.” That was appropriate results of the FKH Unud research into 152 villages that disampling, 53 villages among them positive tertular the virus H5N1, said Mahardika.

Anon_451 – at 21:09

Want you all to know that what you are doing is MAKING A DIFFERENCE. Had a conference with 10 of my counter parts from different States. Conferance was over and we went to lunch. I mentioned that I was prepping my area for the Bird Flu and a couple of the them said why, nothing is happening. Pulled out the Indo Maps and the Box Score and passed it around while I ate lunch. The questions then started. Three hours later we all had to leave to catch airplanes. They all ask for and wrote down the Wikies web site. I did not have to give a speach just showed the maps and answered question. I firmly beleive that I converted at least 9 of the 10 and if the 10th one comes here she will be a convert as well.

anonymous – at 21:24

Thanks Anon 451… it is an encouragement.

Michelle in OK – at 21:25

Sorry that was me. Lost my cookies as well as my marbles.

NauticalManat 21:36

Anon_451. Very encouraging. I have a sense that finally due in large part to many of the fluwikie nations efforts, that a critical momentum may be close to happening. Heard locally today that a company here in MA who has many clients is undertaking to evaluate what they would do in Pandemic situation, and that this is due to one of the clients wanting to know how this would affect them.

FloridaGirlat 22:16

http://tinyurl.com/qx5uq

Makassar, the Stand — A child, Hendra (10), the citizen

 Makassar, underwent the intensive maintenance in the Hospital (RS) Wahidin Sudirohusodo, Makassar, on Tuesday (20/9).The child was run off with to RS because of his family worried Hendra terjangkit the bird flu virus.

Was like this it was said the Head of the Intensive Care Unit’s Installation (IRD) RS Wahidin, Dr Khalik Saleh SpPD to the Stand, in Makassar, on Tuesday (20/9).

According to the Secretary Tim the Control of this RS Wahidin Sudirohusodo Bird Flu, after getting the maintenance for one day in IRD the Child RS Wahidin, Hendra then then brought to in special isolation space the patient suspect bird flu.

“We took the sample of blood and mucus on the Hendra nose.” The sample was afterwards sent to the laboratory of the RI Health of the Department’s Research And Development in Jakarta, said Khalik. RS Wahidin treated more than eight people who were stated as the patient suspect bird flu.

The seller of the Chicken in isolation space, Mira (31), the mother Hendra was seen was alone menuggui his child.Mira that his days worked as the seller of the chicken in this eggplant Market afterwards said that although he sold chickens, his child has not touched the chicken in recent times.The “chicken that died also was not available.”Previously was month time eight.

But that indeed again the season of the chicken illness, said Mira. He afterwards tell about, his child that went to school in the Muhammadiyah PRIMARY SCHOOL this V class suffered the fever, the minor cough, and breathless. “When I between to the community health centre in Maccini, his official to frightened all it was thought bird flu, therefore I here,” said Mira that with his husband already almost ten years sold the chicken.

Two patients suspect bird flu, respectively Edi (27), the citizen of the Earth Complex the Sudiang Jewel, Makassar, was stated by the bird flu negative. Was like this was sent by the nurse in RS Wahidin space of the bird flu isolation, magic, on Tuesday (20/9).

“Although the negative, but was not yet permitted to come home because of them would in-bribe again (the taking of the sample of the mouth liquid and the nose) by the team of the health from Jakarta,” he said. Edi was in one room of the dengue fever diagnosis by the doctor. The infusion hose was still being installed on Edi’s hands.

“I did not know also why still wanted to be taken his sample in fact setahu I, results have been negative,” said the sister Parinding that was assigned in isolation space.

FloridaGirlat 22:21

http://tinyurl.com/nqyjz

TULUNGAGUNG - The plague of the virus avian influenza (AI) or bird flu it was indicated claimed fatalities. Abram, villager Kaligentong, the Pucanglaban Subdistrict, that was suspected (suspect) bird flu yesterday the night was killed in RSUD Dr Iskak Tulungagung.

The child was 11 years old blew out the breath the last time around struck 22.45 WIB. That is when being treated intensively in the room of the isolation in RSUD Tulungagung Orchid space.

The casualty arrived in the Serious Installation the Emergency (IRD) RSUD Dr Iskak Tulungagung on Monday struck 19.00. When being brought to the hospital, his condition was very critical. The temperature of his body was very high, achieved 39 levels celcius. The casualty also experienced breathless and coughs.

Because of being suspected of being affected by the bird flu virus, the class student 6 SDN 1 Kaligentong was isolated in the special room. That is the normal room was used to treat the patient who was suspected by bird flu. However because his condition was very weak, finally the fourth son from four related the Sutris couple with Siyah this only could remain 4 hours. Struck 10.45, casualties died.

Public relations RSUD Dr Iskak Tulungagung Triwidyono Agus Basuki said casualties were treated in the room of the isolation because of having the high risk tertular bird flu. Because around his residence of many chickens that died suddenly. Increased again by the temperature of his body was high, crowded and coughs. So have the possibility AI.

 “Because that, as the step in anticipation was treated by us as the patient suspect bird flu,” said Triwidyono Agus Basuki during it was confirmed yesterday.

Nevertheless, Oki-demikian this Triwidyono Agus Basuki akrap was greeted- claimed still could not confirm whether casualties really tertular bird flu or not. The reason is, when being brought to casualties’s hospital in the diarrhoea situation. And results of the beginning inspection were also found by the existence of the infection.

 So as to have also the other possibility that the temperature of the high and breathless body was caused from the infection.

“But we have taken the example of the nose liquid and the throat as well as the photograph of the chest. Results of the lab have been sent by us to Surabaya to confirm whether he was indeed infected by the bird flu virus or not,” said the father of two children.

Usually, continued Oki, the assurance someone was sentenced terjangkit the AI virus or not needed time two weeks. That because of the laboratory inspection that was enough njlimet.

Now, Siyah, the mother Abram, acknowledged if in his village of many chickens that died suddenly that was expected because of bird flu. That happened happened in the last two weeks. Including his two property chickens also died suddenly. “The chicken that died suddenly indeed was but that for a long time,” obviously Siyah.

Before being brought to RSUD, the son of his pity was brought took medicine to the local village midwife, Wiwik. Initially, Abram only fevers to Jumat then. And the illness subsided after taking medicine to the village midwife. The midwife’s words, Abram was sentenced only was ill typus.

“But suddenly on Monday early afternoon was sick my child suddenly relapsed again. Because of his condition apparently serious finally was brought by me to this hospital,” he said

FloridaGirlat 22:25

http://tinyurl.com/r682c

The patient was suspected Tebing Tinggi Origin Bird Flu was permitted to come home

Wednesday, 20 September 2006

After his clinical sign was not similar to the sign of bird flu, SF (15) the patient that originally was expected suspect bird flu from Tebing Tinggi came home, on Monday (18/9).

SF in fact already several days ago was permitted to come home the side RSUP HAM but was not yet it was known certain why the SF family did not yet bring him came home.

RSUP HAM permitted SF to come home because of being based on results of the inspection of only normal fevers and the indication of casualties of contracting bird flu was stated by the negative.

Sudah far the day was stated by us SF not bird flu. His clinical sign did not head in the illness, so for a long time has been permitted by us pulang, Wadir words 1 RSUP HAM Dr Nur Rasyid Lubis to the reporter, on Monday (18/9).

pugmom – at 23:59

Thanx Anon 451--I was glad to hear you made 9 converts. Now if each of those 9 could make another 9! The spreadsheet and maps are such great tools to get your point across RIGHT NOW and not even have to convince people with words. Thanx for letting us know how you feel.

22 September 2006

Dude – at 00:09

2006[1].09.21 Genogram of H5N1 Cluster.PPT is on muse.

2006[1].09.21 Indonesia.Order of patients Sysmtoms.Valid thruSept15.xls is on muse.

pugmom – at 14:40

Bengkulu, Sumatra: 2 new cases, Iwas (5 yo) and Ferly (3 yo) date of onset about 1 week ago/about Sept. 15 date of article 9–23–06 note also that it sounds like the older brother already took Tamiflu. http://tinyurl.com/myjmn

 Liputan6.com, Bengkulu: the citizen’s two children of the Seluma Regency, Bengkulu it was suspected was affected by the bird flu virus.

The two children were still being treated in the Muhamad Yunus Public Hospital, Bengkulu, on Friday (22/9).

Beforehand Iwas, 5 years and Ferly, 3 years suffered the sign that was the same as the bird flu sufferer. They experienced the high fever was accompanied breathless since a week set. Initially the older brother was siblings this took medicine in the Seluma Community Health Centre. However because his sign resembled bird flu, Iwas and Ferly afterwards was reconciled to RS Muhamad Yunus. Their parents were increasingly worried because beforehand hundreds of neighbouring chickens died suddenly.

Director RS Muhamad Yunus the doctor Safrudin mentioned, the two patients were at this time treated in isolation space

see geography below: Bengkulu is a province of Indonesia. It is on the southwest coast of the island of Sumatra, and borders the provinces of West Sumatra, Jambi, South Sumatra and Lampung. The capital and largest city of the province is also called Bengkulu, located at 348S 10215E. It was formerly the site of a British garrison, which they called Bencoolen.

The province has a population of 1,405,060 (2000 census). The province also includes Enggano Island.

pugmom – at 14:42

If you go to the link above and just look at the picture (at Liputan), you will see that MaMa is lying in bed with her sick child and has NO protective gear on—not even a mask.

Snowhound1 – at 14:59

pugmom—did you watch the video? Others were also in the room without any protective gear on, a man sitting on the other bed, the father perhaps. The older child in the other bed looks to be in better shape than the younger one. Really is sad…

pugmom – at 15:01

water purification now being provided to BF hospitals to filter out H5N1: article dated 9–23–06 http://tinyurl.com/nl3mz

 The Zainoel Abidin public hospital (RSUZA) Banda Aceh, that is the only reconciliation hospital for the bird flu sufferer in Aceh, currently had water purifier, by being equipped by ion technology plasmacluser that was proven to be potent in paralysing the bird flu virus through to 99 percent

This implement was direct help from PT Sharp Electronics Indonesia (SEID) the Medan Branch that was handed directly over by his management, Budiyanto Healthy and was accepted by the Head of RSUZA Banda Aceh, Dr Rus Munandar that was represented by the Head Instanlasi means, Mulyadi, on Thursday (21/9).

According to Budiyanto, this help was handed over all through Indonesia especially for the available reconciliation hospital in the capital of the province, through Health Minister Dr Dr Siti Fadilah Supari, SpJP (K) as the SEID contribution towards the health of the community. Produk water purifier this was distributed by us for 44 hospitals that were alerted in the handling of the case of flu burung said Budiyanto to the reporter, yesterday. Said, as being learnt, the plague of bird flu that initially was lost emerges currently has increasingly spread the area to various Indonesian corners and the part of the world as well as claimed quite a bit of fatalities including in Indonesia….

The virus that initially only spreads between the poultry, currently infected humankind and increasingly terrorised the life of the Indonesian community. With increasingly expanded him the plague of this bird flu and for the sake of welfare of the life of humankind, pushed SEID continued to do the innovation without henti him.

As one of the forms of his interest, SEID produced ion technology plasmacluser that was proven to be effective in paralysing the bird flu virus H5N1 through to 99 percent. The capability of ion technology plasmacluster this through the process of the research kolaboratif with Prof John S Oxford from Redroscreen Virology, London, last May

Despite at this time, since being provided by him space of the bird flu installation in RSUZA Banda Aceh, was not yet any bird flu casualties but this was very beneficial if from time to time in Aceh terjangkit bird flu that attacked humankind….

pugmom – at 15:02

Snowhound1--I’ll be darned—I didn’t even know you could watch a video—thanx, I will check that out!

Commonground – at 16:29

pugmom - at 14:40: Did a search on Bengkulu within the Wiki and I found this posted by AnnieB @ 02:22 on 9/11 on the Indonesia Outbreak VII thread.

AnnieB at 02:22
This is about a (confirmed?) outbreak in poultry - how long until we have people as well?
The bird flu virus was believed in attacked several poultries belonging to the citizen in the Mojorejo Village, the Sindangkeling Subdistrict, Rejanglebong, Bengkulu. For the last two months, thousands of poultries belonging to the citizen died suddenly. This condition has been reported by the citizen to the local Livestock Breeding Service. Officially Livestock Breeding was helped by the special team of the handling of bird flu immediately investigated several poultries belonging to the citizen with the method rapid test or the waste test of the poultry. From results of this test, was found two positive samples bird flu. To reinforce this assumption, the team of the handling of Rejanglebong bird flu also tested him in the laboratory in Lampung. The test showed similar results. More at http://www.metrotvnews.com/

Commonground – at 16:30

AnnieB - I’ll take a stab at your question - how long until we have people as well? Hmmm. Eleven days.

pugmom – at 16:32

Yes, 11 days, and 2 siblings in one family—gee, it couldn’t be considered another cluster case could it?

Commonground – at 16:35

I’m really trying hard not to get depressed Pugmom. I am so glad I didn’t have to see the picture. I’ve seen too many pictures……I think I’ll avoid liputan for a few days. Yes, if they come back confirmed, another cluster and sounds like Mom is going to get it also.

pugmom – at 16:49

Unicef throwing big parties, with Indonesian stars in attendance, to get the message across. In Makassar, South Sulawesi. Article dated 9–22–06 http://tinyurl.com/fefjo

Thousands of communities attended the Unicef Bird Flu Campaign Sungguminasa, the Stand — Pelaksanan the prevention campaign of bird flu that was carried out by The United Nations Children apostr s Fund (Unicef) co-operated with the Government of the Gowa Regency in the Field of the Bontonompo District, the Bontonompo Subdistrict, on Friday (22/9), was attended around thousands of communities. The presence three artists, Lula Kamal, Safaruddin KDI, and Saiful Jamil could suck the citizen around and from the area of the neighbour.

This community enthusiastically took part in the running of the agenda that took place began around struck 15. 00 wita. The source of the Stand in the location of the agenda, Darmawan Denassa, said, Safaruddin appeared early gave the ‘performance of songs dangdut and Makassar…. Lula appeared gave the explanation concerning the Preceptive program (our hands the preventive) Bird Flu. He explained the importance of the hands and the role of the hands in the spreading of the bird flu virus. Approximately 3. In the 000 ‘s the community that was present thoroughly paying attention to the explanation of the pretty artist. The Preceptive campaign same Bird Flu was filled up by the game.

Four children were invited to the stage and were given two ripe egg seeds then was eaten on the stage….

After that, children were given by the opportunity to make the hands stamp to a sheet of white cloth. Hundreds of children took part in taking the part by dipping his hands into the previous wall paint made the hands stamp in cloth that was explained around 15 metre that. The hands stamp his plan will be completed totalled one million. This part of the Preceptive program one million hands that was carried out Unicef Makassar Delegation. They were afterwards asked to wash the hands by making use of soap truly and cleanly… The activity of the bird flu campaign last night also was enlivened with pemutaran the film about bird flu.

Beforehand, the sermon on Friday in the Great mosque Sheikh Yusuf Sungguminasa also contained the prevention campaign of bird flu.

This campaign was connected by Islami methods and health knowledge….

Michelle in OK – at 17:23

According to an article on the News thread today, Abram (11M)from Tulungagung (died 8/20) was confirmed positive by Indonesia as the 50th fatality.

pugmom – at 17:55

Michelle—typo—I think he died 9–20.

pugmom – at 18:01

CG—it is depressing. The only good thing today was that we got news from Liputan. I had almost convinced myself that there was a deliberate news blackout in Indo right now. The thought of losing our uncensored channels to what is happening over there really frightens me, and I worry about that alot. I used to follow Boxun, the Chinese outlet, then I realized they had clamped down and no news was coming out of China any more. I worry that will happen in Indo, right in the middle of this growing problem. If they clamp down in Indo, like China, then this thing could explode on us and catch us completely off guard. I guess there is something good to be said about the decentralization of Indonesia—the government doesn’t seem to be breathing down everybody’s throats.

Commonground – at 18:30

You are right pugmom, I get scared too when I think there may be a news blackout in Indo…. I’ve spent the last 3 days searching and never find a thing. But I’ll keep trying.

FloridaGirlat 22:22

Dude at 00:09

Thank You Dude for posting the “Genogram of Clusters” (new clusters added) and “Order of patient symptoms”.

Michelle, Okieman, Pugmom, and others….

I spent all of last week verifying the data and found some descrepancies in the data. (Links are on the bottom of the pages)

Some errors were the sex of the patients, some were the relationships of the patients to others… Other places I found patients that had been “treated” but not counted. I put as much data there as I could find…

This time the Genogram shocked even me. I had not idea there were that many clusters…. I did not even finish adding all of them.

your comments welcome……

Michelle in OK – at 23:19

pugmom at 17:55… thank you for the correction. Yes, the date was a typo and should have been 9/20. I have been out but will post a Summary shortly.

FloridaGirl at 22:22… I will be out-of-pocket most of the weekend, but will try to compare and correct the spreadsheet for any errors if I can next week. The spreadsheet as of 9/19 was posted by Dude, so if someone else has a chance to compare and post a summary of needed changes here, I’ll be sure to pick them up.

Michelle in OK – at 23:28

Indonesia Summary - Updated as of 09/22/06

Cases DiscussedJun-06Jul-06Aug-06Sep-06Total
Died, no test results22419
Died, tested positive432110
Other tested positive01304
Symptoms, tests pending42462880
Tested negative0625536
Totals10148035139
pugmom – at 23:42

thanx to both of you for posting your data—will go over it with a fine-toothed comb---in the morning.

23 September 2006

pugmom – at 06:50

more details on Abram from Tulungagung: dated 9–23–06

note: they seem to have expedited these results and were able to verify in 2 days. http://tinyurl.com/njgys

TULUNGAGUNG — MIOL: Abram, 11, villagers Kaligentong, the Pucanglaban Subdistrict, the Tulungagung Regency, East Java (East Java) that died last September 19 it was confirmed because posotof contracted the virus H5NI or bird flu. This assurance was received after the Health Service of the Tulungagung Regency got results of the assessment of the sample of the test of casualties’s blood of the Big Hall the Health Laboratory (BBLK) Surabaya, on Saturday (23/9). The head Subdin the Prevention and the Eradication of infectious diseases (P3M) the Service of Kesahatan Tulungagung Baharudin Budi Santoso said results of the sample test of Abram blood deliberate was accepted earlier of the schedule that necessarily namely approximately 2 weeks. “We from the deliberate health service asked that results of the test by BBLK were accepted earlier namely only two days after the taking of the sample and Abram results positive was affected by bird flu,” said Baharudin…

With the case findings of this newest bird flu pascapenetapan Tulungagung KLB bird flu up to now already two casualties were killed that positive was affected by bird flu. Beforehand a child was named Tyo Styoningpuji, 8, villagers Sukoharjo, the Karangrejo Subdistrict died to mid last July 2006. Was based on the note from Subdin P3M for the last three months already 9 citizens Tulungagung that could be stated suspect bird flu. However after being done by the inspection all of them the negative….

In the meantime this bird flu virus also it was confirmed attacked hundreds of poultries that died suddenly in the Kaligentong Village, the Pucanglaban Subdistrict a last week…

pugmom – at 07:49

Very long, but fascinating editorial written in today’s Sinar Indonesia online newspaper. It is one Indonesian researcher’s attempt to make sense of it all, and then, finally, to assign blame, dated 9–23–06. http://tinyurl.com/f55n7

 On Saturday, on September 23 2006 by Fotarisman Zaluchu

The virus attack H5N1 that caused the death of the poultry and humankind increasingly Deadly. After beforehand only attacked some areas, this virus attack already menjalari everywhere.

In a short time, since being found very first to humankind during 2005, was recorded in the beginning of this September, already 65 positive patients bird flu to humankind, with the mortality rate reached 75 percent.

The spreading to the poultry also has been extraordinary the number. Currently already 30 provinces were in Indonesia recorded as the territory positively bird flu. Could not be denied that the spreading of bird flu has spread all over the land territory, far from hope originally that his spreading could diisolir so as to be able to be better. That was significant, that pemanggilan several district heads by President Yudhoyono in the beginning of the spreading of bird flu increasingly raged, evidently ineffective to prevent his spread to the other territory all over Indonesia.

With same logic, evidently, that the spreading of bird flu especially to the poultry all over Indonesia evidently failed also was controlled by them that was believed and had the upper authority of the control of this problem, that is the Department of Agriculture and the Department of the Health.

In North Sumatra, as many as three villages have in Dairi experienced the death of the poultry suddenly and it was indicated to a new plague. Then was followed by the death of the poultry in Tebing Tinggi and several other territories. The wave of the spread also happened intensively in West Java, East Java and Sulawesi. There, the livestock and humankind experienced the death because of this bird flu.

Why the spread and the death resulting from this bird flu were so fast and spread without could be prevented by us? In a film was entitled Race Against The Killer Flu that was released by National Geographic, it was related how opposition efforts towards this bird flu was incessant was done by the experts all over the world. In the scenario that was simulated through the use of the computer, if one the case happened, then a country in a short time (20 weeks) will experience various failures of economics, social, the security and the infrastructure. In the film, was recommended to put the attitude forward was on the alert. There was a detection system that must continue menerus active to meresponi the case emergence of bird flu, especially in the beginning of his period. In Hong Kong, for example, the mortality rate could be prevented because of being done by the prevention breakingprep early that very effective, that is the extermination of the poultry. Millions of poultries were destroyed to prevent the spread. The traders and the seller of the chicken in fact were involved in an effort to prevented this by giving his poultry willingly was destroyed. That also interesting through the film was that the existence of the possibility of the occurrence of the bird flu pandemic resulting from the process of the mutation that could not be prevented. In the scenario terburuk him, as many as 10 people will die as a result of the ferocity of bird flu that diasumsikan can spread from humankind to humankind if the medium for that was not prevented.

The bird flu virus was the virus that very active, clever at manipulating himself and very durable.

The global death resulting from bird flu, that often was acknowledged as the pandemic indeed increasingly disturbing. This was triggered by the fear of the world community to occurred again him the case of the death resulting from bird flu during 1918 that killed almost 30 million people. Because that is now developed by the large-scale research to encourage the production of the medicine and the vaccine that his control efforts could precede the process of his spreading.

Indonesia In the country, the failure of the control of bird flu was resulted in because of the nonexistence of the awareness and vigilance that bird flu could become terrorism that very frightening. The determiners of the decision still more liked played the upper passage. It was true that Indonesia has prepared with the formation Komnas Bird Flu. The budget trillions rupiah has been prepared. Only the work of this team was more ineffective considering bird flu not stopped but increasingly spread. The Health Minister has personally admitted that the spread of this illness currently goes without geographical logic. The reason apparently did not make sense. This argumentation apparently only threw the problem to the illness personally, away not gave responsibility inside.

Because of being based on the research epidemiological, this illness trip in fact could be prevented precisely in the area where the characteristics of the sufferer were often found. In Hong Kong, the failure of the mass spread to humankind was because of the handling precisely at the time of this illness first was found.

In Indonesia, was the reverse. This illness when very first was found during 2005 precisely was striven for was hidden from the public’s knowledge. The Health Minister not announced the situation was on the alert, but berwacana in front of the public that this still must be confirmed. In fact the discovery many research and development agencies in 2003 up until 2005 that the existence of the bird flu virus to the poultry, only will be waiting for his spread time to humankind.

The research proved that this illness generally happens and is easy to spread among the breeders or them that was in and around poultry livestock breeding. Then in Hong Kong for example, was done by the extermination of the poultry precisely in the territory that was meant earlier, without being waiting for the arrival of the case. Upara preemptive this was a method that really paralysed the arrival of the new wave of the case of bird flu.

 In Indonesia the breeders and the poultry breeder did still not have the awareness that was the same as them that in Hong Kong.

They could not be blamed because they had not accepted education and the change in the behaviour from two important departments. The community had finally considered that bird flu was an illusion that the arrival from the invention of the government.

Slow him the Indonesian reaction to the spread of this bird flu was indeed regretted by many frightened countries if bird flu asal Indonesia landed in their country. As the good neighbour, Indonesia could be necessarily relied on to prevent this. However seem like because felt was threatened because of the Indonesian indifference, many countries had finally forced itself mendanai Indonesia in dealing with the problem in the country personally.

This was very embarrassing and was impressed mencoreng the charcoal in front personally.

The Recommendation that often was ignored was in the cultural change. When this problem happened necessarily the government made use of him as the opportunity to give the change in the behaviour to the community in his relations with the control of the illness. Many simple matters could be done. Unfortunately, the government did not arrest this as something that important. The control of bird flu was only carried out with various medias that more were similar to the origin impression so. The change researchers in the behaviour then appeared to not care.

We knew that the cruel attack the bird flu virus in Indonesia did not yet stop. We waited efforts that more maximal from the government. The pen that increasingly quiet because was remained died by his occupants, as well as houses who became the place of the sufferer who died must him became the arouser of the awareness together. The government could carry him out.

As the researcher, the writer was carrying out change efforts in the behaviour to a small group of inhabitant in the Medan city concerning this bird flu. And this evidently was successful. The approach peer education through education for the adult (andragogik) that was combined with various proven communication models increased the behaviour of the community to more was on the alert against this problem.

However the work that must be carried out by even more. All the corner of this country was the natural laboratory for the bird flu virus. This clear was the mass danger that if being not prevented becoming the big danger for all of us. The hunting to precede this virus must continue menerus was done by asking all the element bureaucracy-community-donor to co-operate. During him gave attention that more to efforts to prevent the spreading of bird flu.

(the Writer worked on the North Sumatran Body of province Research And Development

Commonground – at 07:54

http://tinyurl.com/lzpf8
TANGANI FLU BURUNG UNICEF KUCURKAN DANA 2 MILIAR -Berita Kesehatan - Dinas Informasi dan Komunikasi, 21–09–2006 09:09 WIB -
That was said one of the Tim from Unicef Kusmini after the Technical meeting of the Control Campaign and the Control of Bird Flu in East Java, in the Health Service of the East Java province, on Wednesday (20/9). He said, the interest unicef to pour out this fund because the case of this bird flu, has crept throughout the regency/the city in East Java, and was proven from three positive patients was affected by bird flu two died that is from the Tulungagung Regency and the Surabaya City, whereas one patient from Kab Kediri was safe.

Although being not yet proven the spread from humankind to humankind, happened but that must be guarded against that is to 10 serious areas terjangkit bird flu. The area among them the Blitar Regency, Malang, Kediri, Trenggalek, Ponorogo, Tulungagung, Pacitan, the Blitar City and the east Probolinggo area as well as Pasuruan.

Oleh the reason continued to have high vigilance, among them with did surfeilens, he said. He also said, at this time the availability of Tamiflu medicine has been spread in the endemic or serious area through to ketingkat the community health centre, especially to the area that many poultry farms pedaging and the layer. The endemic area of the bird flu was to 10 kab/co the south territory namely the Blitar Regency, the Blitar City, Malang, Kediri, Trenggalek, Ponorogo, Tulungagung, Pacitan, the east Probolinggo area and Pasuruan. Now the north territory not the endemic area of bird flu. Persediaan tamiflu in East Java achieved 10 thousand doses, and it was estimated more than enough to handle the endemic area

Commonground – at 08:10

Statistical Chart out of Indo for cases from July 05 to Sept. 21, 2006. Click on the first link. PDF File.
Jumlah kasus penyebaran flu burung di Indonesia s/d tanggal 21 September 2006

FLU_BURUNG_21_09_2006.pdf
http://tinyurl.com/gexqj

LMWatBullRunat 09:14

comment on commonground port at 8:10-

Wow. 221 confirmed and suspect cases with 92 deaths?

The Bad News: This is double what I have seen to date.

The Good news: This CFR is “only” 41% which is much more in line with earlier data from other countries which could be expected to have better medical treatment systems and likely better data.

Still….. if all of the suspect cases are hot, then Indonesia has seen as much human infection as that reported by the rest of the world. Double plus ungood squared.

Commonground – at 09:18

To make the title more clear on the Stats Chart in post 08:10 - it is cases from July 2005 - until September 21, 2006.

Commonground – at 09:23

LMWatBullRun - at 09:14, I just went to the WHO site. They have for Indonesia 65 total cases with 49 deaths.

Commonground – at 09:29

LMWatBullRun, it’s interesting how they write that up. 65 confirmed. (49 died). 156 cases under investigation (43 died). I would have to imagine the ‘under investigation’ would have to be recent. I’m going to go back over there and see if I can look at their previous report and see how many were “under investigation”……

FrenchieGirlat 11:09

Commonground - LMWatBullRun

Regarding this recent Stats Chart, you may want to compare it with the previous one: Indo Stats which looks as if it is a draft, same figures, more or less, but with the CFR (omitted from the most recent stats). I used the url address changing the figures and went back the whole of September and August. These 2 charts, the one posted by Commonground and the one I post) are the only ones, so it really does look like a first attempt at comprehending the (very worrying for them too) situation. At least it looks as if some Ministry employees are getting themselves in gear… That does tell me someone up is very very very worried, perhaps not just about BF itself, but also about the increasingly annoyed and anxious feelings of the international community about Indonesia’s handling of this problem. One good think about this: they’re obviously starting to work seriously, maybe there is still hope that TS does not HTF?

What I see (in the 17 September chart) is this (but I am no mathematician, and the “sample” is small), so please correct me if I am wrong:

Confirmed Cases:

Probable cases:

Suspect cases:

Note:

It does look like an unfinished draft (see line 9, 1 confirmed, 1 dead, should be 100% but there’s zero).

What does the word “Terpapar” mean (top 4th column)?

Interpretation:

Please fill in, because I don’t know how to interpret figures such as these. Certainly, the CFR figures for the confirmed cases is horrific, even though it looks like line 3 (Jawa Barat) has a smaller CFR figure for the highest number of cases, compared to the others. And quite frankly, the figures for probable and suspected cases, despite being lower than the confirmed figures, are still so high (smallest figure being a CFR of 20%). Yeah — even if we get a pandemic with 20% CFR, that still means TEOTWAWKI…

Goju – at 11:17

the cfr from 1997 to 2006 has gone from 50% to 80%.

80% of the deaths are under 29 years old.

WHO confirmed cases - 247 / dead - 144

The cases Jan- aug 2006 = all of 2005

Commonground – at 11:29

Terpapar = Flattest (according to toggletext). Make sure you read Tom DVM’s latest commentary at the Pigs Thread. (3 posts long).

Influentia2 – at 21:12

http://tinyurl.com/gcgte The family and the Medical Official that had been connected with Abram TULUNGAGUNG- the Abram Assurance, 11, that was killed because terjangkit the bird flu virus, caused the panic.Yesterday, 25 people that was taken the sample (the example) blood to be checked to the laboratory.Tertular the virus avian influenza (AI) that or not.25th that was taken his blood consisted 20 medical officials RSUD Dr Iskak and the family’s 5 Abram members.The family the domiciled child in the Kaligentong Village, the Pucanglaban Subdistrict, that it was considered had the high risk tertular the virus AI. understood, had done direct contact with casualties.The official of the team of the Control of the Virus Avian influenza (AI) East Java visited casualties’s house around struck 10.30.By being accompanied by the official from the Tulungagung Health Service, they took the sample of parents’s blood Abram; Sutris and Siyah.Casualties’s three older brothers were also taken the sample of his blood.The sample of their blood will be tested in the Big Hall the Health Laboratory (BBLK) Surabaya.That is to know whether the Sutris family tertular this deadly virus or not.The “sample of his family’s blood we took to be tested in BBLK. because of them once direct contact with Abram.”This to prevent the existence of the spread of the AI virus from humankind to humankind, said Kasubdin the Prevention and the Eradication of the Illness of the Health Service of Tulungagung Bahrudin Budi Santosa.It was further that Bahrudin Budi Santosa, the spread of bird flu from casualties to the other person very possibly happened.Especially the family that often direct contact during casualties was sick.This the step for anticipation then.As far as this is concerned did not yet have the case of the spread from AI from humankind to humankind or the spread of the third phase.That happened uptil now still was limited by the second phase, the spread from the poultry to humankind, said one of the officials from the team of AI East Java that reluctantly was named by his name.

During the inspection, one of the members of casualties’s family there are those that was suspected terjangkit the virus berkode N2H5 that. Casualties’s older brother was named Eni Wulandari admitted to be able to be feverish in the last two days. However yesterday his condition improved. The “older brother of the two casualties admitted to having a temperature but now has recovered.” Yes saw results of the lab later. Hopefully only is hot normally, said this official. Before checking casualties’s family, the team of the Control of the Virus of AI East Java more previously carried out the inspection in RSUD Tulungagung. The medical officials in the Abram place hospital blew out the last breath also was checked. Most did not have 19 nurses and a person of the doctor that once direct contact with casualties, also was taken the sample of his blood. The sample of their blood will also be tested in BBLK Surabaya. The “nurses and this doctor also had the risk tertular.” Because of them also once contact with casualties Abram, explained Bahrudin. As being reported, Abram, 11, villagers Kaligentong, the Pucanglaban Subdistrict, were killed because of bird flu. The class student VI the Kaligentong PRIMARY SCHOOL died in RSUD Dr Iskak Tulungagung last Monday, September 18 struck 22. 45 WIB. In the taking of the sample of blood yesterday also was attended from the WHO side, Eric. Moreover was present also the Section Head the Tulungagung Health Dr Rukmi. “We only carried out anticipation to his humankind, if against his chicken of the Livestock Breeding Service,” said Rukmi. (yog)

Influentia2 – at 21:21

On Sunday, September 24 2006 Destroy 150 Ayam In The Meantime, after having the Abram assurance that was stated positive bird flu, the Livestock Breeding Service (Disnak) Tulungagung also moved fast. ‘’‘Hundreds of chickens belonging to the citizen that was around casualties’s house AI yesterday was destroyed by the official Local Desiase Crisis Center (LDCC) Disnak Tulungagung and the official of the Animal Medical Clinic from Malang. At least, there were 150 chickens belonging to the citizen who was destroyed by the official.’‘’ That was the remnants of the chicken that still was living around casualties’s house AI, Abram. The chicken belonging to Ladino that was destroyed 98 tails, the Kateni chicken that disembelih had 14 tails, the Karji chicken totalling 34 tails, and belonging to Sugeng only 2 tails. This chicken all was destroyed because it was considered already tertular AI. During the extermination, the officials made use of the complete maintenance. Apart from using the mask to close the mouth, they also put on clothes and special shoes were white. ‘’‘The chickens were cut off more previously before being burnt. The village head Kaligentong Jarni said at least was 2 thousand more the available chicken in his village. And now was estimated remained at approximately 500 tails, whereas the rest of them died suddenly and were endless during the last month.’‘’ “That died that in general the chicken that has been big or mature,” explained Jarni. Before being destroyed, the official took the sample (the example) chicken blood that will be burnt that. The sample of the blood will be sent to the Big Veteriner Hall (BBV) Jogjakarta to diujikan. That is tested in a manner details whether this chicken really tertular bird flu or not. The “sample of this blood would diujikan in a manner details in BBV in Jogjakarta,” explained Tutik, the official from the Malang Animal Medical Clinic. Apart from doing the extermination of the chicken, the official also carried out the analysis in casualties’s environment AI. This to know how the spread of the AI virus that claimed the Abram life. “This we the data all, beginning with the residence, the place of his school, the playing place, et cetera.” This to confirm how his spread, he explained. (yog)

Influentia2 – at 21:22

http://tinyurl.com/gcgte

link to last post

FloridaGirlat 21:36

http://www.mediaindo.co.id/

On Saturday, September 23 2006 12:20 WIB Indonesian Archipelago - Java Timur

the Child in Tulungagung Positive Bird Flu The writer: Eddy S

 TULUNGAGUNG

— MIOL: Abram, 11, villagers Kaligentong, the Pucanglaban Subdistrict, the Tulungagung Regency, East Java (East Java) that died last September 19 it was confirmed because posotof contracted the virus H5NI or bird flu.

This assurance was received after the Health Service of the Tulungagung Regency got results of the assessment of the sample of the test of casualties’s blood of the Big Hall the Health Laboratory (BBLK) Surabaya, on Saturday (23/9).

The head Subdin the Prevention and the Eradication of infectious diseases (P3M) the Service of Kesahatan Tulungagung Baharudin Budi Santoso said results of the sample test of Abram blood deliberate was accepted earlier of the schedule that necessarily namely approximately 2 weeks.

“We from the deliberate health service asked that results of the test by BBLK were accepted earlier namely only two days after the taking of the sample and Abram results positive was affected by bird flu,” said Baharudin. With the case findings of this newest bird flu pascapenetapan Tulungagung KLB bird flu up to now already two casualties were killed that positive was affected by bird flu.

Beforehand a child was named Tyo Styoningpuji, 8, villagers Sukoharjo, the Karangrejo Subdistrict died to mid last July 2006. Was based on the note from Subdin P3M for the last three months already 9 citizens Tulungagung that could be stated suspect bird flu. However after being done by the inspection all of them the negative.

In the meantime this bird flu virus also it was confirmed attacked hundreds of poultries that died suddenly in the Kaligentong Village, the Pucanglaban Subdistrict a last week. This was met after being received by results rapit the test to several livestock there last week by the official local desiase crisis center (LDCC) the construction of local livestock breeding of the service.

According to the Section Head Tulungagung Danduk Sudarham Regency Livestock Breeding the findings of the chicken livestock died this around 300 metre from the Abram residence. “We have done penymprotan and handled the livestock that died should.” We were waiting 21 days more. When still had the death of the chicken resulting from bird flu then all the livestock disama was forced to be burnt by us, said Danduk.

Danduk claimed concerned, because of the distribution of bird flu or the region endemi this was fast enough. In the last two months only

Michelle in OK – at 22:02

From the articles above, 25 people were tested that had contact with Abram. I’ve added only 1 ‘suspected’ patient. Abram’s brother, Eni Wulandari, is stated to have had a fever. If I’ve overlooked anyone, please let me know.

pugmom – at 22:39

No wonder they insisted on expediting Abram’s blood work—they are very nervous, or they must have had a feeling he was positive. They got the results back in record time—only 2 days. We should hear the results on all those other ones in 2 days too, as I am sure they are expediting those samples too. For some reason this case feels different than the other ones—I guess because I can sense the anxiety in the HCW’s.

24 September 2006

Commonground – at 05:37

The 20 health care workers that were tested - they were not showing any signs of illness? I this correct? They tested simply for precautionary reasons? Do i read this to say they inspected the hospital (staff?) BEFORE they went to Abrams home/family?
At 21:12:
Before checking casualtiess family, the team of the Control of the Virus of AI East Java more previously carried out the inspection in RSUD Tulungagung.

FrenchieGirlat 05:52

Indonesian boy dies of bird flu (Reuters) - http://tinyurl.com/zj8y9

JAKARTA, Sept 24 (Reuters) - A nine-year-old Indonesian boy has died of bird flu, an official of the health ministry’s bird flu information centre said on Sunday, taking the country’s death toll from the disease to 51.

The boy died on Friday at a hospital in Jakarta, Runizar Ruesin, the head of the centre, told Reuters.

Influentia2 – at 06:43

CG: 5:37

I understood the article to mean that the hospital was also inspected first. Only Eni was showing any signs of illness, but was improved. The article doesn’t say if anyone else was showing any signs of illness. I am hoping that the officials are just taking all the precautions they can. WHO is there also it says at the end of the last paragraph.

Commonground – at 07:28

Influentia2, I hope they are being cautious also. But - it’s the first time I’ve heard of them doing this - taking blood samples of 20 medical staff who were near a patient.
What about the 9 year old boy from Jarkarta (news article at CE mentions he’s from Jakarta). Have we been tracking him?

Influentia2 – at 08:47

CG: at 7:28

I don’t think know anything about the nine year old boy. I try to focus on East Java and with my dog being diagnosed with diabetes and trying to get her regulated I have had my hands full lately. That is why I try to stick to one area right now. I did find some really good maps of Ciputat Raya and Pondok Pinang the area he is from, problem is I don’t know how to post anything but the link. Pondok Pinang doesn’t sound like a little out of the way village. I will post you the link soon and you can see what you think.

Influentia2 – at 08:59

CG 7:28

The articles I read list Ciputata raya (raya means great) and Pondok Pinanag as where the nine year old is from in southern Jakarta. Here are the links to those areas.

Ciputat http://tinyurl.com/k3esm

Pondok http://tinyurl.com/zww8t

Hope these help out I am not very good with geography. These are pretty good map sites I think.

As far as the situation with the 11 year old I am hoping this is all precautionary and that officials are trying to show how on top of things they are so some donor funds for avian flu start being released. But I could be wrong.

Bozito – at 11:29

From http://tinyurl.com/h9j55

JAKARTA (Reuters) - A nine-year-old Indonesian boy has died of bird flu, an official of the health ministry’s bird flu information centre said on Sunday, taking the country’s death toll from the disease to 51.

The boy died on Friday at a hospital in Jakarta, Runizar Ruesin, the head of the centre, told Reuters by phone.

“The result came out this morning. It has been confirmed positive,” he said.

The boy, a resident of Ciputat Raya in South Jakarta, had suffered from fever, cough, runny nose and pneumonia after he began to get sick on Sept. 13, Ruesin said.

The boy was said to have had contact with a sick bird.

pugmom – at 13:51

Gorontalo, North Sulawesi: using police for forced culls. dated 9–24–06 http://tinyurl.com/msnew

 Metrotvnews.com, Gorontalo: efforts and unitary sector police of the Security of the Executive the Port of the Livestock Breeding Service (KP3) Gorontalo destroyed approximately 30 chickens belonging to the citizen because of not having the free certificate bird flu received the citizen’s opposition.

However, the extermination tiodak took place smooth. The citizen of the Pagimana Subdistrict refused their poultry was destroyed because their poultry was not yet proven medically terjangkit the virus H5N1. A citizen had a name Nilawati Handsome in fact forced brought came home his six chickens….

pugmom – at 14:08

Simalungun, North Sumatra, officials explaining difference in NewCastle deaths versus H5N1 deaths, also note worry over rainy season approaching. dated 9–24–06 http://tinyurl.com/lfte8

 On Sunday, on September 24 2006 Simalungun (SIB) Kadis Simalungun Regency Livestock Breeding Ir S Hutauruk, on Wednesday (19/9) mentioned, the ND virus (Newcastle Deasease) usually developed twice a year in connection with the change in the dry season and rainy

The ND attack could kill the chicken livestock in stages in one certain area.

That was sent responded to the Simalungun complaint of the Regency community like in the Village Siborna the Panei Subdistrict, the Village Tigabolon the Sidamanik Subdistrict was still showing the nervousness and the trauma, on the death of hundreds of tails of the kept chicken livestock, it was suspected were attacked by bird flu. As being explained by villagers Siborna R L Tobing, he was forced to throw the carcass away his 8 chickens that were encountered died in the pen in the morning. According to Hutauruk, the characteristics of the public to the livestock that was attacked by bird flu and ND was seen was similar. The difference is, in the palm part foot the chicken carcass was attacked by ND was met the red spot bluish. The community was appealed to not restless and worried was abundant but precisely understood the characteristics of the ND virus that always attacked the chicken livestock in the change in the dry season became rainy or was the reverse. ND cruel could attack and kill the chicken in small scale whereas the plague of bird flu attacked and killed the chicken in large quantities when almost simultaneously.

The ND virus has for a long time happened and has been known by the community occasionally emerged 2 times a year in one area, this illness kind had the special term in respectively the area.

pugmom – at 14:20

Bandung, West Java: new case, initials “T” age 20 y.o. His brother also died the day before in a differnet hospital of the same symptoms. Date of onset 9–22–06. article dated 9–24–06. http://tinyurl.com/q85vh

 Bandung, (HOMEWORK).

- A patient suspect bird flu from Kec. Batununggal, the Bandung City was treated in Handsome Sadikin Space of the Hospital Poinciana Tree (RSHS) Bandung. Beforehand, the patient had the initials T (20) that was treated in RS Saint Yusup Bandung, for two days. The patient T entered Poinciana Tree Space, on Sunday (24/9) struck 13. 30 WIB. Therefore, the patient T was the 54th patient who occupied Poinciana Tree Space.

Ketika was run off with to RSHS, the condition for the health of the patient T really jelek, the Chairman’s words Tim the Handling of the Case of the necessary Special Infection the Maintenance and the RSHS Isolation, Dr. Hadi Jusuf, Sp. P. D. KPTI.

He said, when arriving, the hot situation inpatient high until achieving more than 38 levels celcius. Moreover, his breath was crowded and his blood pressure was low. Despite this, the patient still in consciousness when arriving in RSHS. The team of the doctor at once gave help of oxygen and tamiflu.

The sample apus the nose, the throat, and the sample of his blood were just sent this Monday morning to the Balitbangkes laboratory in Jakarta. Results of the upper laboratory test the sample, it was hoped could be known one or in the next two days….

According to Dr. Hadi, was based on his family’s information, the patient T beforehand indeed had carried out contact with the poultry that died. T had taken chickens that died in livestock breeding to give ate his dog.

However, still could not be ascertained whether this poultry was positive terjangkit the Avian virus influenza (AI), or not. Dr. Hadi explained, the previous day the patient’s older brother T died in RS Saint Yusup. The patient’s older brother T experienced the same sign like the patient T.

When being confirmed, the side of RS Saint Yusup still could not give information. According to one of the officials in the registration part treated inap, information could be just given through public relations to this Monday morning.

In the meantime, the Section Head Bandung City Agriculture, Ir. Yogi Breakingprep Supardjo, H. M. The. , overnight said did not yet accept the report on the case of bird flu in Batununggal. Kami as soon as possible he will immediately send the team to do the direct verification to lapangan, the Yogi’s words…

pugmom – at 14:34

Medan, North Sumatra: New Cases: 5 total patients, 3 of them all members of one family. article dated 9–25–06 http://tinyurl.com/mtut9

September 25 06 00:26 WIB three patients Suspect Bird Flu Not Yet Stabil Medan, was on the alert Online

One family suspect bird flu still in the maintenance intensively in space of the Longing isolation of A RSUP H Adam the Medan Owner.

The condition for casualties was still continuing to experience the high fever, but to not yet make use of respiratory aids (the ventilator). Was like this information that was assembled was on the alert, on Sunday (24/9) in the Longing of A RSU Adam the Owner from one of the nurses in the place. However, from the ‘’‘five casualties who were treated two among them that is TUS and JBS began to be stable. Whereas BS, LBT and RBS’‘’ his condition was still rising descended through to reached 39 derjat celcius.

“But the team of the health was still continuing to monitor the development of the condition for the two casualties although being stable,” said the nurse who was not prepared to be named by his identity.

Deputy Director Pelayanan Medis RSUP H. Adam the Owner Dr. M. Nur Rasyid Lubis, SpB during it was confirmed confirmed. He said, from five casualties who underwent the maintenance, two including beginning to be stable. “Until this was not yet known whether positive or negative casualties, and still were waiting for results sample blood that was sent to the Centre of the Jakarta Health Laboratory.” However, all the patients have been given medicine anti bird flu (tamiflu) to guard matters that were not wanted, said Rasyid.

Observation of Observation was on the alert around the location of space of the maintenance of the patient of the place isolation suspect bird flu was seen by some of the patient’s families that visited felt very anxious. Moreover several people of the visitor put on the handkerchief to close his mouth because frightened. “We did not yet know whether this patient was positive or negative.” But, we must be against this illness on the alert, said Rustam, one of casualties’s families.

Rustam added, necessarily Adam’s side the Owner as quickly as possible to provide the special room of the maintenance suspect bird flu to eliminate the very anxious feeling of the other visitor and the patient who underwent the close maintenance of this room. Moreover, continued Rustam, the level of the supervision of Adam’s side the Owner apparently not firmer against the patient. The member of the patient’s family still was free outside entered the room without making use of the security implement like the mask and other. This better could be clarified to guard matters that not cool down. Because of the team of the health did not yet know whether they were positive or negative.

Commonground – at 14:35

pugmom at 14:20 - you gotta be kidding me. Damn.

Commonground – at 15:15

pugmom, I can’t see in the article where 3 of them are members of the same family. I can never figure these translations out.

pugmom – at 15:36

you are right CG—I read it too quickly. All it says is “one family suspect” and then clusters a bunch of initials together. I guess from the way they clustered the initials, I thought there were 3 from same family, but may be only 2. I tried to bold the lower part where they say no one was wearing protection, but it didn’t bold.

pugmom – at 15:37

Also CG: thanx for reposting these important news items on the news thread and other places—this is such important information, I would hate for the rest of FW not to see it. (Or for that matter, the rest of the world!)

Influentia2 – at 15:39

CG 15:15

I count four with the same last initial. I don’t see three in the same family either unless she has read another article in addition to this one.

KimTat 15:43

pugmom at 14:34 According to Dr. Hadi, was based on his familys information, the patient T beforehand indeed had carried out contact with the poultry that died. T had taken chickens that died in livestock breeding to give ate his dog.

Commonground – at 15:44

thanks pugmom - I can’t understand why anyone would be uptight in sharing this very important post. Sometimes certain forums get mad if you take something from one and put it into another. that is so childish to me. You are doing an absolutely terrific job, I really can’t say enough. Well, at this point, we can’t really go by initials - because then we would be assuming. It says “One family suspect bird flu” so why can’t we entertain the idea that it is ONE family. At this point, we have to wait and see if we can get more details.

Libby in Atlanta – at 15:52

http://tinyurl.com/hg949 Is this related to the family Pugmon wrote about.

pugmom – at 15:58

CG—maybe it is 1, or 2, or 3, or 4, OR maybe all 5 are from the same family.

Commonground – at 16:00

Hi Libby, thanks for the post. The boy in this article is in Jakarta and not related to the possible 5 family members in N. Sumatra.

Commonground – at 16:01

Pugmom, I asked about on the “other” sites, and we’ll get their opinion too. can’t hurt.

pugmom – at 16:23

CG/Influ2/ I have finished with my first quick scan of all the usual sources, and thankfully, nothing else has popped out. But to review for today: one reported death in Jakarta, 2 suspected cases in Bandung, West Java, and 5 suspected cases in Medan, North Sumatra. So many popping up in widely separated areas. And then of course, Abram, who died the other day was from East Java. (CG—let us know what the buzz from the other hive is!)

Commonground – at 16:30

So far, 2 very well respected individuals (one from each site) has interpreted it as one family. I have a feeling, that we are in for a rocky road ahead. So just today, we have 8 new cases.

Influentia2 – at 16:38

Pugmom 16:23

I have checked the usual places and just see what you have seen. I did notice some links are not updated to the 25th yet. Don’t forget to keep an eye out on the 25 in East Java who are being tested. I will probably have to work 9 hours or so again every day this week and I have to stop at the vet’s tomorrow so I will be later than usual again.

AnnieBat 17:30

I think I have found another ‘hand’ to help us with translations - I have just sent him some sample text so he can check if his skills are ‘still of value’ - will let you know :-)

pugmom – at 17:46

Great AnnieB! Does he use Toggletext, or does he speak Indo?

Pixie – at 20:23

On Frenchiegirl’s post of the stats:

Suspect cases:

sample larger, CFR between 25% and 50% - note exact same pattern as probable cases - low number of cases, CFR 50% - medium number of cases, CFR 37% - high number of cases, CFR 25%


The only good news we’ve heard lately on this whole thing has come from Niman who has posited that the earlier cases are receiving a higher “dose” of the virus, while the later cases, more removed from the first cases in their clusters, are receiving a smaller “dose” and thus experience less virulence. That might explain these numbers.

AnnieBat 21:46

pugmom at 17:46 he can translate from Indo but is ‘happier’ checking our translations where there may still be confusion instead of regularly translating “all and sundry” for us. I will happily pass on text to him (original and toggle) when we need clarification and he will assist as best he can. I will watch this site for any postings that state that they require further clarification and action them accordingly.

pugmom – at 22:45

Thanx AnnieB—there are definately times when further clarification is needed, so it is nice having a back-up.

Michelle in OK – at 22:47

Indonesia Summary - Updated as of 09/24/06

Cases DiscussedJun-06Jul-06Aug-06Sep-06Total
Died, no test results224210
Died, tested positive432211
Other tested positive01304
Symptoms, tests pending42463587
Tested negative0625536
Totals10148044148
pugmom – at 23:00

Medan, North Sumatra: update on 5 cases. article dated 9–25–06. Hard to decipher, as first it sounds as if one has died, but then they talk about the condition of the 5 family members. http://tinyurl.com/og8pe

Lima As A Family the Citizen of the The Deepest Part of Pakam Suspect Bird Flu, 1 died was written by editorial staff on Monday, on September 25 2006 Medan (SIB) the BS Family (33) villagers Pagarjati the Pakam Deli Serdang The Deepest Part yang was expected suspect bird flu began to improve and still was treated intensive in Longing space of A RSUP H Adam the Medan Owner.

From five people who originally entered Adam’s hospital the Owner currently only three people more from the family that still was treated in space of the Longing isolation A. two people were talked about was returned because of the negative suspect bird flu.

The situation of three patients who still were treated has increasingly improved was marked hot him began to descend when compared to when being brought to RSUP HAM. was seen on Sunday afternoon (24/9) the three of them were still being installed by the infusion for his illness recuperation. Kasubdin P2P the North Sumatran Health Service Dr the Service Sun that it was confirmed said, the patient still in the intensive maintenance.

Till Sunday, his hot words of the Service Sun descended. Currently his side is still being waiting for results of the sample inspection of blood of Litbangkes Jakarta. One family was affected suspect began with several tails of their chicken died suddenly last week.

Not several old one of his children experienced the high fever, coughs that finally had died. Sepeninggal his child, one family at once experienced the high fever with the sign of coughs. They were afterwards run off with to RSUD the Pakam The Deepest Part. Several days were treated but his fever will never descend, RSUD the Pakam The Deepest Part reconciled him to RSUP human rights in order to ascertains his illness. Officially Livestock Breeding afterwards checked the chicken livestock around his house and it was known results of these chickens positive contracted the virus H5N1.

HELP ANNIEB: this is one article that needs clarification. Unable to figure out if another child has died, outside of the 5 member family they are reporting on above. Thanx.

gharris – at 23:40

International Herald Tribune - Asia Pacific Edition

http://tinyurl.com/ok2pg

Indonesia confirms 51st human death from bird flu The Associated Press

Published: September 24, 2006

JAKARTA, Indonesia A 9-year-old boy died from bird flu just hours after being admitted to a hospital in Indonesia, becoming the 51st confirmed fatality in the country worst hit by the virus, a senior Health Ministry official said Monday.

The boy died Friday in a hospital in the capital, Jakarta, nine days after he first showed symptoms of the virus, Nyoman Kandun said.

“By the time he arrived at hospital, it was too late,” said Kandun, adding he died two hours after being admitted.

The boy had recent contact with chickens also suffering from the H5N1 strain of bird flu, the health official said.

AnnieBat 23:54

pugmom at 23:00 I have sent the copy for ‘review’. Will post as soon as I get a response.

25 September 2006

AnnieBat 00:40

From my friendly translator:

the way I read it: ‘Sepeninggal’s eldest child died, the rest were infected’

pugmom – at 01:25

So, 6 people in one family. Thanx for the translating help.

Commonground – at 05:55

Pugmom at 23:00 - “Several days were treated but his fever will never descend,” Could have been the index case in this situation.
“two people were talked about was returned because of the negative suspect bird flu.”
“Currently his side is still being waiting for results of the sample inspection of blood of Litbangkes Jakarta.”
Returned home? Just removed from ICU? They are still waiting for results taken, so I assume they haven’t received any for the two that were “returned”?

Madamspinner – at 06:02

What we are hearing coming out of China and Indonesia is just the tip of the iceberg.

I have a nephew working “one of those gov’mt jobs you don’t talk about”…and he has been in Indonesia for almost 2 years. He tells family that not only has China been lying all along about their numbers; but the Indonesian numbers are ALOT higher then has been reported in the news.

His last transmission to family has the virus doing the human-human-human jump again , in a remote town/village to the west of Jakarta. Military is trying to contain it, but with problems.

He says the main problem is the majority of people are uneducated, illiterate and just plain don’t want to believe that a chicken illness can kill everybody in a matter of days. They are hiding their chickens to keep them from being culled. The more they try to educate their public, the more they resist.

The “tipping point” is 664 cases world -wide; and when we don’t know the true numbers from these two countries alone,….how close are we REALLY ?

My sister ( this nephews’ own mother ) thinks I’m crazy for “prepping” for this. Even when her son is living there, seeing this unfold with his own eyes….she still doesn’t believe. And has made NO preparations for her family still at home…..and the woman is a NURSE……. ( I even asked our mother…if that woman was really “ours” ?? )

corky52 – at 06:30
Commonground – at 06:57

To all my “news hound” buddies here:

I have to step down from searching for news on Sumatra. I have tried my very best and I realized today - it’s not my cup of tea. I went through all of my “sources” this morning, like I do every morning, and have found nothing on the family of 5 in Sumatra. That clenched it for me. I am doing something very wrong in my searches, or I have been the most unlucky person to have chosen 7 sites that are useless. Either way, I’m done. I’m not going anywhere, and I’ll keep up with my posts on interesting news.

FloridaGirlat 08:36

Madamspinner at 06:02

Perhaps your nephew would visit Fluwiki and give us some cases and locations of which he has heard.

It might gives those who are searching the news a direction in which to look so we can get a better idea of what is going on.

Of course, he does not have to reveal anything secret… and the info would be much welcomed.

worrywart – at 08:39

Commomground- I read your posts every day as many others do and I wish you would not quit. Maybe they just don’t have any news on it today, their seem to be days when we don’t hear anything, not your fault.

Commonground – at 08:55

worrywart - I’m not going to quit. I just feel I cannot be depended on to be able to find anything on Sumatara. I will continue to post anything I can find. Madamspinner - Welcome, I don’t believe we’ve crossed paths before.

treyfish – at 09:12

Hey!Now i dont feel so bad.I search chinese news and indo news sites whenever i have finished reading here or other places,and dammit!I toggletext and try to go to english sites and hit a brick wall 95% of the time.I’ve been thinking it was only me!I also find when you search some sites with their onsite search funtion,almost all pig or bird stories are very old.Im talking barely anything on pigs at all except last years strep suis that killed 38 farmers.Also alot of sites wont come up for me either or are closed down.It seems we arent wanted to find out anything and its a tough way to get info for us.The chinese lockdown has been keeping us in the dark as intended.Thanks, china and microsoft!It burns my ASS, that we even have to try and find out this way!I’ve been to the chinese cdc and the important stories are in chinese or blocked or non existent or from 2005.We need better contacts from that side of the world to get the real deal,im afraid.I thank all the secret code readers who give us so much even more now,after trying my hand at it im sure we would be weeks late in finding out when it starts!Dont give up yet, cuz i aint goin out like that!I need a new chinese friend!Don’t quit.The life you save may be your own!Madamspinner,tell him beer is on me!

Snowhound1 – at 10:10

This is nothing new on this thread, but it is in English and is somewhat of a confirmation of the info you have been getting from your Toggletext articles….

This article is about the most recent death in Indonesia of the 9 year old boy. It also has some interesting tidbits of other information which I have copy and pasted below.

http://tinyurl.com/rcw5b

The country also reported another suspected death, while four patients showing symptoms of the virus were being treated in hospitals.

In the west Javanese town of Bandung, a 23-year-old man died after showing symptoms of the virus before tests could be performed, and his brother was being treated in a hospital, said local health official Fatimah Resmiati. Both fell ill soon after feeding dead chickens to their dogs, she said.

Separately, three members of the same family were being treated as suspected cases in Medan city on Sumatra island, a nurse said. Blood samples had been taken from the patients. Details of their conditions were not released.

Pixie – at 10:44

Commonground - it is not your news gathering skills. The Indo government has clamped down quite a lot on the news lately. As Madamespinner says, there are probably a lot more cases than we hear of anyway - we hear of just those cases that spill out into the media.

BTW - Hi Trey, nice to see you! Hope everything is going well.

pugmom – at 11:06

CG—you can’t quit—we depend on you, both emotionally and for all you contribute. I have 40 (I just counted) sites that I have in my favorites, that I go to about twice a day. I will share any and all of them with you. Some, about 20 have been very successful, the others are iffy, with just occasional hits. It is no mystery, just time-consuming, and I have learned the tricks on how to do it. I will be very happy to send you the juiciest ones. I even have them set up so the best ones have the “cari” search feature right when you call them up. I have never concentrated just on my area—I scan all of Indonesia, as I am intellectually curious about everything over there. If you are doing only 7, that is probably the reason you don’t get many hits. I often find info about, say Medan, printed in a Sulawesi newspaper. I have sources I go to that have had no hits, but I keep returning, as they have had some BF stuff way in the past, and I never know when it is going to bear fruit. If you are adamant about not wanting to do it any more, we understand, but it won’t take me any time to send you off my urls. Also, since I am on every day, you could just spell me when I am gone. I have to admit to you that this is very difficult for me emotionally. It is a roller-coaster ride, emotionally, and every time I find a new case, my heart pounds and I become very frightened and I know it is another attempt by the virus to break out. I am not sleeping at night, and I know, alot of other people aren’t either, but with no news from the WHO and complicit silence all around, I feel this is our only way to have any warning. Was it Dorothy Parker who said, “My god, what kind of fresh Hell is this??” I say that to myself every time I find new cases and read these awful stories, as they foresee all the death and suffering that is about to descend on us.

treyfish – at 11:28

Pixie!how is it?GLAD TO SEE YOU ARE STILL KICKIN!

Commonground – at 11:41

Pugmom - send me the sites the work well with the cari. I do my researching around 6–8 a.m. EST. Like you say, between us both, we will pick up everything. Sometimes I’ve noticed when you use the “cari”, the material is very outdated, which makes the “cari” option useless. Ugh.

Olymom – at 11:44

Commonground, THANK YOU for all your work. I think what this job would be like just searching our local papers. There are obits every issue but many times there is no cause of death listed. I’m also aware of how many things are “news” in a local paper — a soccer match, a bar fight, a beauty queen crowned. Any of those can bump another story to another day, particularly if there are things that are suspected and not confirmed.

Madamspinner, you write “664 is the tipping point” — where does that number come from and what does it mean? I think there were more than that number of SARS cases . . . so I’m confused and need help! Please explain further.

pugmom – at 12:16

CG—let me do my first scan today, then I will work on the best way to get those urls to you. Give me a little time. Maybe I could just copy my “favorites” and sent them to you that way. I will play around with it and figure the best way to do it.

pugmom – at 12:24

Southern Jakarta: 3 new cases: “Dawn” a 9 y.o. has died on 9–22–06, and there are 2 other cases as well, an “R”, age 60 y.o. from Bekasi and “N” a 9 y.o. from Tangerang. article dated 9–25–06 http://tinyurl.com/njgys

 Jakarta — MIOL: casualties died resulting from the virus avian influenza (bird flu) improved.

The dawn, 9, the citizen of the Penang Hut of Rt 9/9, Ciputat, Southern Jakarta, died after being treated in RSPI Sulianti Saroso. He died, on Friday (22/09) around struck 22. 15 WIB. Beforehand, the Dawn was treated in RS Republic of Indonesia State Police Sukamto afterwards was moved to RSPI. According To Wadir the Tutti H Service when being picked up by the condition for the Dawn has worsened. At “that time the Dawn has been installed breath aids, he experienced the cough, breathless, hot high, and pilek,” explained Tutti, on Monday (25/9). The oxygen pressure on the artery of the Dawn artery very low only 50 mm. Whereas the number of his leucocytes only 1500–1800, in fact normal him around 3000–5000. In his house environment, said Tutti, was found by many chickens died. “His family maintained the chicken, and many that died.” “ “

Tutti explained at this time 2 patients still was in Cempaka space that is having the initials R, 60, the Bekasi citizen and N, 9, the Tangerang citizen. Both of them still still berstatus suspect, not yet positive contracted bird flu.

pugmom – at 12:34

Bandung, West Java: update on “T” (I believe), whose name has now been identified as Zakaria Divine Guidance and his brother, Indra Jayakusuma, age 23, that died. Onset date for both was 9–18–06. article dated 9–25–06 http://tinyurl.com/am6wk

Bandung — MIOL: the Condition for Zakaria Divine Guidance, 20, suspect bird flu that was treated in RS Handsome Sadikin (RSHS) Bandung since Sunday afternoon (24/9), till Monday (25/9) still was critical. On the same day, casualties’s older brother, Indra Jayakusuma, 23, died after experiencing the hot sign high and breathless. The older brother was siblings the citizen Street Jakarta, the Gardener’s District Waru, the Batununggal Subdistrict, of this Bandung City, it was known had contact with the chicken died. It was daily that they the dog breeder that gave ate his kept animal with the chicken died that was bought from the market. The “condition for Divine Guidance very critical, in fact increasingly critical compared to when entering isolation space.” His leucocytes descended, now pneumonia on the lungs increasingly spread, so as he suffered breathless difficult and must make use of respiratory aids, explained the Chairman Tim the Handling of the case of RSHS Hadi Jusuf bird flu. Kasubdin environmental Sanitation Dinkes West Java Fatimah Resmiati said, if results of the inspection of Divine Guidance blood evidently positive bird flu, this possibility was cluster just. Only, the conclusion still terkendala, because his older brother who died could not be taken the sample of his blood. According to information of casualties’s family, Useful, the two older brothers were siblings began suffered hot and breathless, Monday last week. They just bought the chicken died and gave him to his kept dog. “Both of them could go to the doctor, but was stated suffered flu and was asked to rest.” Only, his condition was increasingly serious, so as on Saturday night, was brought by us to RS Saint Yusuf, flat Useful. Overnight was treated in this hospital, the condition the two casualties increasingly worrying. On Sunday early afternoon, reconciled both of them to RSHS Bandung, but in the Indra trip blew out the last breath, and afterwards immediately was brought to Garut, was buried.

pugmom – at 12:39

same info as above, but a few more details. article dated 9–26–06 http://tinyurl.com/pxdnq

 Metrotvnews.com, Bandung: the Handsome Hospital of Sadikin Bandung, West Java, again treated the patient who was expected tertular the bird flu virus.

The patient was named Divine Guidance (20) currently was treated in Handsome Sadikin space of the Hospital isolation. The citizen of the Laksana Alley, Batununggal, the Bandung City, this underwent the maintenance since Ahad (24/9) yesterday. Before being treated in the Handsome Sadikin Hospital, Divine Guidance could be treated with his older brother, Indra Jaya flowers (24) in the Hospital Saint Yusuf Bandung for one day. According to relatives of casualties, the two older brother-be siblings this experienced the sign of the fever, breathless after coming home from Garut, West Java. Both of them were in fact known could give ate the kept dog with the chicken carcass

pugmom – at 13:00

Medan, North Sumatra; rehash of story above about the 5 cases, but with a few more details. article dated 9–26–06 http://tinyurl.com/nqwas

 On Monday, on September 25 2006 Medan (SIB) the BS Family (33) villagers Pagarjati the Pakam Deli Serdang The Deepest Part yang

was expected suspect bird flu began to improve and still was treated intensive in Longing space of A RSUP H Adam the Medan Owner. From five people who originally entered Adam’s hospital the Owner currently only three people more from the family that still was treated in space of the Longing isolation A. two people were talked about was returned because of the negative suspect bird flu. The situation of three patients who still were treated has increasingly improved was marked hot him began to descend when compared to when being brought to RSUP HAM. was seen on Sunday afternoon (24/9) the three of them were still being installed by the infusion for his illness recuperation. Kasubdin P2P the North Sumatran Health Service Dr the Service Sun that it was confirmed said, the patient still in the intensive maintenance. Till Sunday, his hot words of the Service Sun descended. Currently his side is still being waiting for results of the sample inspection of blood of Litbangkes Jakarta. One family was affected suspect began with several tails of their chicken died suddenly last week. Not several old one of his children experienced the high fever, coughs that finally had died. Sepeninggal his child, one family at once experienced the high fever with the sign of coughs. They were afterwards run off with to RSUD the Pakam The Deepest Part. Several days were treated but his fever will never descend, RSUD the Pakam The Deepest Part reconciled him to RSUP human rights in order to ascertains his illness. Officially Livestock Breeding afterwards checked the chicken livestock around his house and it was known results of these chickens positive contracted the virus H5N1. (

Michelle in OK – at 13:17

Pugmom at 12:24… I think the 9 year old is the same that we had listed in Ciputat Raya, Jakarta, we just didn’t have a name before. The date of death is the same. This is the case which was confirmed positive.

I pulled up Google Earth to check the distance between these locations. A road goes from Bekasi, through Jakarta, to Tangerang (which appears to have access roads from many locations). As a crow flies, the distance from Bekasi to Tangerang is 25 miles.

Commonground – at 13:32

Thanks everyone for your words of encouragement, and thanks to all of you for your hard work and diligence. Pugmom, send me the links anyway you want to, anytime you want to. I’ll be here. I’ve started making notes as of this weekend, of all the cases. So I least, I can help that way.

pugmom – at 13:59

Pakam, (Near Medan???): New Cases: one death and 3 other family members affected plus references to to others. article dated 9–26–06 http://tinyurl.com/qlh4j (Help me with the geography here)

September 26 06 00:38 WIB two villages And one District in L. Pakam Terindikasi Flu Burung the Pakam The Deepest Part, was on the alert Online

Two villages and one district in the Pakam territory of the The Deepest Part Subdistrict terindikasi the bird flu virus in fact claimed the life of a small girl Marlina Br Sitorus,11, the inhabitants Street Perumnas Jati Permai, the Melintang Market Village, the Pakam The Deepest Part Subdistrict.

Now the two parents of casualties Bitner Sitorus, Lena Br Tampubolon as well as casualties’s brother Retno Sitorus currently in the maintenance in RSU H Adam the Medan Owner.

The sub-district head the The Deepest Part of Pakam Sariguna the Cape, S. Sos, MSi that was contacted, in his office on Monday early afternoon (25/9) justified three villages and the district in his territory terindikasi bird flu. Up to now the number of livestock belonging to the citizen who died suddenly resulting from terindikasi the AI virus (avian influenza) reached 549 tails with details in the Melintang Market Village totalling 185 tails, the Fence Village of Kp Motung Teak, the VIII Village 311 tails as well as Lingk. The casuarina totalling 53 tails. Touched on casualties Marlina Br Sitorus that died, the sub-district head said casualties died to last September 18 because of suffering the fever illness and the cough. However still could not be ascertained whether casualties were infected by the AI virus that attacked the chicken livestock belonging

 The sub-district head Sariguna the Cape explained after casualties Marlina Br Sitorus were buried, parents of casualties Bitner Sitorus, Lena Br Tampubolon as well as his brother of Retno Sitorus suffered was sick the fever and the cough.

Further on Wednesday (20/9) the three of them in brought to RSU the Pakam The Deepest Part to get the maintenance. Because around the family’s Bitner Sitorus residence the chicken livestock belonging to the citizen has terindikasi the AI virus and the illness that were suffered by casualties resembled the characteristics of the AI virus attack, finally the Deli Serdang Health Service reconciled the three casualties to get the maintenance to RSU H Adam the Medan Owner still could not be Up To Now ascertained whether the Bitner Sitorus family positive was infected by the AI virus.

Apart from the three casualties, his two daughters in July 1,2 as well as Tika,5 also was shifted to RSU H Adam the Owner. However the two pre-schoolers are currently permitted to come home and both of them was in his grandmother’s house in the Rejo Source Village, the Merbau Fence Subdistrict.

Separately the member DPRD Deli Serdang Drs Syarifuddin Rosha regretted the achievement of Deli Serdang Livestock Breeding of the Service that slow did the handling of the case of bird flu. When the death of casualties and the illness who were experienced by the Bitner Sitorus family true because of being infected by the AI virus, the Deli Serdang Regional Government must especially the Livestock Breeding Service have moral responsibility. Because of this, when having the territory that terindikasi the AI virus, the Livestock Breeding Service must for active did the handling by cutting off the virus cycle. “Will be strange since September 4 has had the death of the chicken belonging to the citizen in the Melintang Market Village suddenly, but till at this time was not yet done by the serious handling as doing the extermination of the chicken livestock between the radius 1 and 5 Km”. The section head Livestock Breeding of Deli Serdang Ir Zulkifli Nasution that was contacted by the reporter in his office, said currently his side forms the Command Post and carries out the socialisation to the community in the location of the area that terindikasi bird flu. Planned, tonight (on Monday 25/9) will be done by the extermination of the chicken livestock. When being asked by how many chicken livestock belonging to the citizen who will be destroyed, Kadis Livestock Breeding Ir Zulkifli could not give the certain figure.

Commonground – at 14:00

I’m getting desperate - here’s all I got….. What does this mean???
“In the meantime, ended the socialisation crushed Bird Flu it was continued giving of artificial insemination against the four-footed livestock animal”.

Linggau the Degree crushed Bird Flu on Saturday, September 23 2006 the THE DEEPEST PART of LINGGAU was initiated by the Livestock Breeding Service and Linggau The Deepest Part fisheries, yesterday, in the SDN Belalau field, the Belalau District, the The Deepest Part Linggau North I was held by the Mass Movement crushed AI or Bird Flu, and the control of the livestock animal. The agenda that was attended by the Mayor of the The Deepest Part of Linggau Drs Riduan Effendi, the element muspika, DPRD the city, the local community, and hundreds of students the PRIMARY SCHOOL were done ate the chicken and the chicken egg together. Wako said, the animal illness spread was the matter that must be responded to and handled seriously. Karena this illness was the illness that was indicated could result in kematian, ujarr him. Although not terjangkit bird flu, but Wako Riduan asked the community to continue to be on the alert. Apalagi, this illness could from time to time attack the The Deepest Part City Linggau, he said while adding, this could be seen from the location of the Linggau The Deepest Part City that was the connecting route between three available provinces in the Sumatran Island. The Linggau The Deepest Part Municipal Government personally, he continued, has taken the step anticipated the possibility of the emergence of the animal illness of spreading in the Linggau The Deepest Part. Among them spraying to the chicken coop, the AI injection, as well as the injecting against the other livestock like the goat and the kept animal. Wako could also give the directive to the citizen who was present, towards the acronym Crush. That is need not panic was abundant with bird flu because the virus could die by hot and the sun rays or disinfektan, tried to get the cleanliness of the poultry, washed the hands with soap after contact, protected children and lansia from poultry contact, pacified cooking by cooking meat and the egg to ripe, immediately reported to apparatus if having the poultry that died in a manner aroused suspicion. In the meantime, ended the socialisation crushed Bird Flu it was continued giving of artificial insemination against the four-footed livestock animal.
http://tinyurl.com/qsjb3

pugmom – at 14:22

Dawn from Ciputa Raya (9 yo) declared positive. article dated 9–26–06 http://tinyurl.com/lu3p8

Again, the Patient Bird Flu died in RSPI on Monday, September 25 2006 | 14:28 WIB The Interactive TIME, Jakarta: the Dawn, the child was nine years that suffered bird flu old died in the Inpeksi Suliyanti Saroso Illness Hospital, last Friday. “Was based on results of the Litbangkes inspection, the positive Dawn bird flu,” said Tuty Hendrar, Deputy Director Pelayanan RSPI today. According to him, the citizen Ciputat Great the Penang Hut RT 09/09, the Penang Hut District, the Ciputat Subdistrict, Southern Jakarta on Wednesday (20/9) was treated in the Republic of Indonesia State Police Hospital the Teak shrine. On the Friday (22/9), the Dawn was reconciled to RSPI struck 21. 15 WIB. “He only one hour was treated in UGD, then died,” said Tuty. Explained by Tuty, casualties had the story of contact with the poultry. “There is infrormasi that his family maintained the chicken that lately was sick and died,” he said. The dawn was the 17th bird flu patient who died in RSPI. the Sufferer avian influenza that was treated in RSPI that berstatus positive numbering 20 people.

KimTat 14:24

Email Karina in the translation link, she will be able to figure it out. I’m at work and can’t but she is awesome at translations.

it was continued giving of artificial insemination against the four-footed livestock animal. http://tinyurl.com/qsjb3

My very, very wild and probably inaccurate guess would be seperating chickens/birds from the four legged mammels to prevent infection/spread to other specicies. That makes sense to me but hey I don’t read Indo.

pugmom – at 14:25

CG at 14:00: ask AnnieB to get her translator to decipher what the heck they are talking about. (He reads Indo.)

pugmom – at 14:28

CG: email me at marcjoan@harborside.com. I need to tell you more than should be posted here.

Commonground – at 14:32

Attn: AnnieB
Could you please have your friend interpret this for us?
In the meantime, ended the socialisation crushed Bird Flu it was continued giving of artificial insemination against the four-footed livestock animal.

pugmom – at 14:40

partial article dated 9–26–06 http://tinyurl.com/j3q52

 More Cruel from Bird Flu, his Medicine was not yet found by newest germs tuberculosis has entered in indonesia

The ‘’‘bird flu VIRUS, Avian influenza (AI), currently became the enemy of all the country. Bird flu became the spectre that very disturbing the community’‘’. The Union’s body of nations (the UN) through the organisation for children, Unicef, in fact spread out the large-scale campaign. In the middle of the unrest, the world is currently haunted with the emergence of tuberculosis germs that experienced the change was mentioned extreme drug resistance (XDR). These germs were it was considered more dangerous because his deadly power was faster from the bird flu virus. The case teranyar happened in South Africa (South Africa) that killed many time inpatients 25 days!…..

Michelle in OK – at 14:42

pugmom at 13:59… This article has 4 of the names for the 5 family members you reported last night. The names match the initials and the hospital in Medan is the same. BS, LBT, and RS now have full names listed. They are the three which were kept in isolation.

pugmom – at 14:55

Pakam, Sumatra; ages of the family members of the girl that died. article dated 9–26–06 http://tinyurl.com/rehl8

 The Patient’s blood Suspect Bird Flu was sent to Depkes

Medan-RoL — the Sample of blood of three North Sumatran citizens who were suspected suspect bird flu was sent to the Department’s Laboratory of the Health in Jakarta. The sample of blood that was sent by the side of RSU H. Adam the Medan Owner was from the patient BS (37), Lbt (32) and Rbs (12), the three of them the citizen of the Deli Serdang Regency. I Bagian Medis Deputy Director to RSU. H. Adam the Medan Owner, Dr. M. Nur Rasyid Lubis, SpB justified that when being contacted in Medan, on Monday. According to him, villagers’s three patients Pagarjati, the Pakam The Deepest Part Subdistrict was reconciled to RSU. H. Adam the Owner, late last week. Beforehand, this patient experienced the hot fever achieved 39 levels celcius and this patient was at this time treated in the room of the “A Longing” isolation.

Madamspinner – at 14:56

Yep, I’m new to this site, but not new to prepping. I’m east of KC; but am an Arkansas transplant. ;-)

On the 664 “tipping point” I can’t really tell you where I picked up on this number. It has been in my notes for several months. I had started researching many, many CDC sites around the world about that time.

Either way, we already KNOW that several countries like , China and Indonesia have clamped down on their reporting, and China is just flat lying about their numbers….so I really believe that we are at that 664 point….we just don’t hear the number of cases “officially”. And THAT is what scares the crap out of this ‘ol girl !

My nephew’s job in Indonesia is not with anything health-related; but he IS in THE RIGHT PLACE in their web-of-things to hear and see things relating to this.And he does go out among the common people. According to him…there IS the h-h-h transfer going on,( very recent..) even tho they are trying to cover it up. He told his brother that it’s already out of control, and that government has nothing in place to control/ or eradicate it. It’s a matter of money, education and man-power. If this isn’t a good example of WHY we need the individual HAM operators, I don’t know what is !

In my family ring, I have this sisters’ 3 grown nephews, 2 of them with families, myself, my mother; her brother & wife in Houston; and then that sister, her husband and a 9 yr old still at home. We are all prepared, except my sister and her house ! It’s 1 of HER sons that’s in Indonesia.

This guy has a job…you can’t even imagine, folks. He’s not scared of the most notorious “human” element out there; … but with what he’s seen over there, and how FAST the BF progresses…he even admits to being scared. That’s what shook up this family…to see & hear HIM saying, “you’d better get ready in every way you can.”

My problem is money…and space. I am on permanant disability and in a TINY apartment ( man, I miss my farm ! ) but even I have done alot with what I have. This apt is bulging as it is, but I will continue doing what I can, as long as I can; because when this nephew puts the code over our family network to “hunker down”…I’m “slamming the door and locking the world out” ! I should have enough supplies for almost a year; I hope.

pugmom – at 14:58

Michelle—I know by the end of the day I will be feeling a powerful need to have a current summary to print out. Will you be anywhere near ready? I can’t keep them all straight.

KimTat 15:04

I give up, I know I’m not invisible, I’m not a troll, not looking to get attention, sheesh. I’ll go away and stay away.

JWB – at 15:16

Madamspinner

Does your nephew have a reliable way to ‘get out’ when the situation becomes total mayhem in that country? (By 10–18–06 IMHO).

Hurricane Alley RN – at 15:16

KimT, No, I see you, no, of course not, no and no. Don’t give up! It happens to all of us. I really know! I hope they get a better translation. I want to know what’s going on too. gina

Michelle in OK – at 15:23

pugmom, also from the earlier article (on the 2 children who were released)

I will try to e-mail Dude a spreadsheet this evening. I think it is caught up at this point. The total count is now at 151 (compared to last night’s summary of 148).

pugmom – at 15:24

more details on family from Medan: dated 9–2−6–06. http://tinyurl.com/p4gtd note; at post at 13:59 I thought the reference to the two other children was dated back in July. Now, with this article, I see that there are currently another 2 children affected and one of them is probably named “July”. They are listed here as “TU” age 5 and “JS” age 1 1/2.

One Family in the The Deepest Part Pakam was attacked by Medan Bird Flu, on September 25: one family consisted of five people in the Fence Village of Teak, the Pakam The Deepest Part Subdistrict, of the Deli Serdang Regency, North Sumatra, was treated in Space of the Longing Isolation A the Public Hospital (RSU) Adam the Medan Owner resulting from suspect bird flu. They that is BS, 33 (the father), Lt, 31, (the mother), his children, RS, 12, TU 5 and JS, 1,2 that was brought by his family to RS Adam the Owner on Friday (22/9) was based on reconciliation from the Pakam The Deepest Part Hospital. Till Monday did not yet have the change in the condition in the five patients……..

Madamspinner – at 15:26

JWB—

 He has a wife and 2 small girls that he packed up, lock,stock & barrel; and sent them back home to St Louis,  in mid-August. 

Job-wise, he can be extracted within minutes, anywhere on earth, if he needs to be. He’s not one to get caught, unless he wants to be….

  ( tongue-in-cheek on that one.)
Pixie – at 15:27

KimT - No, don’t loose heart. Everybody just gets tense on the Indo threads (and I expect that will get worse rather than better the way things are going). People are just scrambling to do what they can. I’ll try your suggestion of sending it to Karina on the translation thread. Tnx!

anonymous – at 15:37

KimT - at 15:04

I suspect your post was just overlooked.???

Pixie – at 15:40

KimT - Done! It was a great suggestion to use the translator. Your post was probably overlooked because everyone left the thread and went to Costco and Sams Club!

JWB – at 15:41

Madamspinner at 15:26 I glad to hear that.

OKbirdwatcherat 15:46

JWB - Will you explain 10–18–06? If you’ve explained before, I missed it.

Grace RN – at 15:48

Madamspinner at 15:26

664 ‘tipping’ point? please elaborate….would love to speak with your nephew, wow…what he must be seeing at this time……..

JWB – at 16:11

OKbirdwatcher at 15:46 Its one of weird a** things that keeps popping up. So finally I decided to use it as a date where TSHTF. Since everyone realizes nobody can predict this it made sense to me to use a concrete date for planning purposes. I find that having this date as ‘real’ for me is actually doing me a lot of good. I’m presently working 11hr days so when I get home I’m a bit tired. But hey, we only got X days left, and that gives me the energy to get more done (i.e. prep related) or spend my time more wisely, (i.e. bike riding with the family, etc). Otherwise it’s too easy to put things off.

OKbirdwatcherat 16:21

JWB - Got it. Nothing like a specific goal to get us goin’. Maybe I should try that approach since I tend to be something of a procrastinator. Thanks:)

Green Mom – at 16:28

KimT and Commonground, pug Mom, Pixie and everyone else that I havn’t named- A HUGE THANK YOU for all the work you have been doing. PLEASE PLEASE don’t give up.I have no idea how to do what you all have been doing and I, for one REALLY REALLY appreciate it-I beleive there are many here who do as well. I don’t contribute to this thread because I don’t know how to do the kind of painstaking web research/translation/ toggle text stuff you all do-I’m in awe.But I read this thread several times a day! Thanks again!!!!!!

Green Mom – at 16:36

Are we sure the 664 tipping point isn’t actually 666?

Sorry- I couldn’t resist. I’ll go back to lurking now.

(GM closes her Book of Revelations and marks “Oct. 18 End of the world” on her calander before peeling out of the driveway on her way out to buy more preps.)

AnnieBat 16:37

Hi team - different time zone so I have only just caught your request for translation.

Attn: AnnieB Could you please have your friend interpret this for us? In the meantime, ended the socialisation crushed Bird Flu it was continued giving of artificial insemination against the four-footed livestock animal.

First glance is that they are attempting to vaccinate the goats and other animals to stop the spread of the virus

If he finds anything more of relevance I will let you know

Pixie – at 16:43

Thanks AnnieB. And that begs the question, why are they vaccinating the goats and other animals - how much H5N1 have the goats and other animals been experiencing?

JWB – at 17:02

Green Mom at 16:28 I agree with everything you posted. You people are doing a fantastic job! If the MSM posted for just one day what you guys are posting it would have a huge impact.

Green Mom at 16:36 That gave me a much needed chuckle!

pugmom – at 18:08

Green Mom (another mom!)/ Kim, JWB and others---hang in there with us, things are muddled and crazy and frenetic right now, and it will get worse, we are all here together and no one intentionally hurts feelings. Glad to hear from you all.

Commonground – at 18:20

KimT - I didn’t mean to ignore you. Been a very very crazy busy day. Threw it out to AnnieB for the translation and then I went out to mow and it took me 3 hours non stop. But that’s done for a while…..

pugmom – at 18:26

CG—you think you were busy today, wait till you get snarled up in all those new links! (laughing).

Commonground – at 18:36

Snarled up is a very good description for it too!

Influentia2 – at 18:42

http://tinyurl.com/fxhxn On Tuesday, September 26 2006 Stock of the Vaccine AI Empty? In the middle gonjang-ganjing the bird flu threat, the vaccine avian influenza (AI) really was needed by the community or the chicken breeder. However when being needed, precisely stock of this vaccine was finished or empty. A breeder, Budi that admitted to coming the Pucanglaban Subdistrict said, himself just asked for the AI vaccine to the Livestock Breeding Service. However he must be disappointed and throw away very far the wish got the vaccine. ‘’‘Because stock of the AI vaccine was empty or was finished. The “official’s words now still do not have the vaccine AI. He Said his stock was unavailable the alias has been finished,” said Budi yesterday. This matter was justified by a staff of the livestock breeding service who reluctantly was named by his name. According to this source, at this time stock of the AI vaccine had not been available.’‘’ Whereas available currently remained at the vaccine for cattle. ‘’‘The “AI vaccine has been finished, available the cattle vaccine,” said this staff in his office yesterday morning. Now, the Section Head Tulungagung Livestock Breeding, Danduk Sudarham denied that.’‘’ According to him, stock of the AI vaccine for the Tulungagung territory still quite safe. Meaning that, stock of the available vaccine it was considered still could be satisfying the available requirement. “If the AI vaccine empty that was untrue.” Please come and could be checked personally that his vaccine indeed still was available, said Danduk Sudarham. Danduk explained, his side was still having 11 thousand doses of the vaccine AI. in accordance with the plan, yesterday afternoon had the consignment of the addition of the AI vaccine totalling 10 thousand doses. We have asked to be sent the additional vaccine again. His plan the vaccine will this afternoon come, obviously him. Now respond to highest AI casualties in East Java, Danduk claimed to be his side will work again better. However Danduk denied his side proclaimed alert one against AI. That Is being more intensive did counselling, the vaccination, spraying, and the fast handling to the area that was attacked AI. but was thought by me still was on the alert, because his characteristics incident was sporadic. It was important that the community must continue to be on the alert against AI that could happen when-waktu,”kata Danduk. (yog)

Michelle in OK – at 18:45

KimT… my apologies as well for not responding. I check in and out quickly and note what details I can glean from the news articles. I agreed with your guess earlier, but didn’t take time to say so.

I’m attempting to balance a husband who thinks I’m slightly paranoid for thinking bird flu will hit anytime soon, kids who worry that it will be here tomorrow, and my own desire to contribute what I’m able to help anyone be prepared. I never intended the brevity of my statements to be rude.

pugmom – at 18:47

Bandung, West Java: things don’t look good for Zacharia. article dated 9–25–06. http://tinyurl.com/nmc7n

Bandung, (HOMEWORK). - the Condition for the patient suspect bird flu had the initials TJ (20) from Kec. Batununggal, the Bandung City that was treated in RSHS Bandung, increasingly worsened. Keadaan him is still ugly, now was installed ventilator, said the Chairman Tim the Handling of the Case of the necessary Special Infection the Maintenance and the RSHS Isolation, Dr. Hadi Jusuf, Sp. P. D. KPTI, to the reporter, in his office, on Monday (25/9)…

Although being considered late, tamiflu continued to be given with the double dose or 150 ml. Dr. Hadi said, antivirus and tamiflu will be effective if being given in the period 48 hours after the sign began to be felt by the patient. According to Dr. Hadi, from produced by twice the inspection x-rayed, the condition for the lungs was still being ugly. This was marked by the sign of pneumonia that increasingly spread.

Respirasi him was still ugly, saturasi oxygen from blood did not yet rise, and from results of x-raying the lungs, the sign of his pneumonia increasingly luas, he said. That, said Dr. Hadi, the condition trend for the patient indeed worsened. But, the team of the doctor was still being waiting for results of the sample inspection of Balitbangkes Jakarta. The sample has been sent on Monday morning and results were just known one or in the next two days. Moreover, the team of the doctor RSHS will coordinate with RS Saint Yusup, the IJ place (24) and TJ (20) the older brother was siblings suspect bird flu could be treated. As being reported beforehand, TJ arrived in RSHS on Sunday (24/9) approximately struck 13. 30 WIB. Half of the hour beforehand, the older brother TJ, namely IJ (24), blew out the last breath in RS Saint Yusup by suffering the same sign. On Sunday night, the IJ body was at once buried in the Jolokbatu Village, Kec.

pugmom – at 18:52

Bandung, West Java: Zacharia is not doing well. article dated 9–25–06 http://tinyurl.com/nmc7n

Bandung, (HOMEWORK). - the Condition for the patient suspect bird flu had the initials TJ (20) from Kec. Batununggal, the Bandung City that was treated in RSHS Bandung, increasingly worsened. Keadaan him is still ugly, now was installed ventilator, said the Chairman Tim the Handling of the Case of the necessary Special Infection the Maintenance and the RSHS Isolation, Dr. Hadi Jusuf, Sp. P. D. KPTI, to the reporter, in his office, on Monday (25/9).

Although being considered late, tamiflu continued to be given with the double dose or 150 ml. Dr. Hadi said, antivirus and tamiflu will be effective if being given in the period 48 hours after the sign began to be felt by the patient. According to Dr. Hadi, from produced by twice the inspection x-rayed, the condition for the lungs was still being ugly. This was marked by the sign of pneumonia that increasingly spread . Respirasi him was still ugly, saturasi oxygen from blood did not yet rise, and from results of x-raying the lungs, the sign of his pneumonia increasingly luas, he said. That, said Dr. Hadi, the condition trend for the patient indeed worsened. But, the team of the doctor was still being waiting for results of the sample inspection of Balitbangkes Jakarta. The sample has been sent on Monday morning and results were just known one or in the next two days. Moreover, the team of the doctor RSHS will coordinate with RS Saint Yusup, the IJ place (24) and TJ (20) the older brother was siblings suspect bird flu could be treated. As being reported beforehand, TJ arrived in RSHS on Sunday (24/9) approximately struck 13. 30 WIB. Half of the hour beforehand, the older brother TJ, namely IJ (24), blew out the last breath in RS Saint Yusup by suffering the same sign. On Sunday night, the IJ body was at once buried in the Jolokbatu Village, Kec. Banyuresmi, Kab. Garut.

pugmom – at 18:54

Darn those double posts anyway!!

KimTat 20:54

Sorry all, been feelin invisable in a lot of areas recently. Thank you!

FloridaGirlat 21:07

KimT,

Sometimes I WISH I was invisable!!!

:)

Monotreme – at 21:16

Continued here.

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