Apparently David Nabarro has told the U.N. he expects the pandemic to be “in the forthcoming year” - thats 2007 in a speech. This is thrid hand information that I cannot confirm because it comes from an Indoensian report referenced at the following URL.
[url]http://www.curevents.com/vb/showthread.php?t=62851&page=3[/url]
Can anyone find Nabbaro’s speech or TV appearance and confirm?
If so, I can stop looking at “use by” dates on my food stocks.
Could it be a reference to the WHO comment that they expect more human h5n1 cases this winter, given the endemic nature of the disease now in so many countries than one year ago?
If he said something like that wouldn’t it be plastered all over the WHO/CIDRAP sites?
Apparently this Dr. also thinks it is going to happen. “Take ‘if’ out of your vocabulary. We absolutely, positively — I will stake my life on it — have a pandemic,” Poland says. “No one knows when, how severe it will be, or what virus it will be. But what we can say is that the leading candidate right now is the H5N1 virus.
“There is no hope in keeping up with the evolution of this virus.”
Dr. Gregory A. Poland, chief of the Mayo Vaccine Research Group and associate chair for research at the Mayo Clinic department of medicine in Rochester, Minn.
«<We absolutely, positively — I will stake my life on it — have a pandemic,” Poland says. “No one knows when, how severe it will be, or what virus it will be. But what we can say is that the leading candidate right now is the H5N1 virus. »>
I dont know about the Nabarro statement, but this second statement has been around for a long time in one form or another. Osterholm frequently uses it. There are 3 pandemics per century. To assume the earth would never, ever have another would be fantasy. So of course we will have a pandemic, and H5N1 seems to be the most likely catalyst for causing one.
I forgot who it was, when asked to make a prediction about a pandemic, said he’s learnt never to put a prediction and a date in the same sentence.
Poland was also features on the BBC Horizon Programme. He did a really good job explaining the science and the implications.
This is from the online segment, available here
A few months ago “they” were saying 10 mutations were needed, a month ago it was 3 mutations, today it is one mutation. No drop in CFR. Doesn’t appear to be unpredicatable or wandering from the path of efficient H2H in hindsight.