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Forum: Percentages of Mortality

EveryoneWorksTogether?22 December 2006, 19:12

Ok so heres the difference of mortality for Avian Influenza since 2005 to now, as well as an overall number. (Hopefully my math is correct. Should be, I had help from my friend, Mr. Calculator. These are all numbers taken from WHO on their website. Only reported cases are here, and this is MY OWN OPINION.)

2005 Cases Mortality Deaths

Azerbaijan 0 0% 0 Cambodia 4 100% 4 China 8 62.5% 5 Djibouti 0 0% 0 Egypt 0 0% 0 Indonesia 19 63.1% 12 Iraq 0 0% 0 Thailand 5 40% 2 Turkey 0 0% 0 Vietnam 61 31.1% 19

2006 Cases Mortality Deaths

Azerbaijan 8 62.5% 8 Cambodia 2 100% 2 China 12 66.6% 8 Djibouti 1 0% 0 Egypt 15 46.6% 7 Indonesia 55 81.8% 45 Iraq 3 66.6% 2 Thailand 3 100% 3 Turkey 12 33.3% 4 Vietnam 0 00.0% 0

Now, this is a startling revelation. Not only is it getting more virulent, but it is also working on creating larger groups in the more densly populated areas. China, Egypt, Indonesia, and Turkey. These places have JUMPED in cases. So what do u people think about this?

22 December 2006, 19:24

you misunderstand. The health care planners say that mortality must go down as time goes on. Any actual data and results that contraindicate their thinking are simply a figment of your imagination.

EveryoneWorksTogether?22 December 2006, 19:29

LOL it seems to be that this is getting better at what it does, namely infecting people and unfortunatly, killing them.

INFOMASS24 December 2006, 16:50

Ohe remaining question is if there are undiagnosed cases that would lower the acvtual (as opposed to observed) fatality rate. The evidence for such unobserved cases is weak, or perhaps more accuately, they are infrequent. The other question is if “the” really easy to spread type (not yet here?) will have a segment of virus for which people have some immunity. This is possible but how likely?

anon_2225 December 2006, 20:36

One question, among many, is whether the increase of human cases is in direct proportion to the increase in presence of the virus in poultry or ducks ie increase in human exposure to infected birds, or whether the virus is more easily transmitted b2h?

Except that you can’t answer that question when birds are not dying and countries are not testing, not enough anyhow.

So we will just keep on worrying when human cases happen where there are no poultry deaths or in densely populated cities, as is happening in China.

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